NYSE:NAV
$41.26
(3/17 4:00PM)
+1.5%
| Open | $40.67 |
Mkt Cap | $2.9 Billion |
| High | $41.54 |
52Wk High | $48.94 |
| Low | $40.43 |
52Wk Low | $27.50 |
| Volume | 1.6 Million |
Avg Vol 10D | 1.9 Million |
Ockham’s Rating/Recommendation Summary
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NAV Revenue
Cash earnings is the most important factor in our analysis, but it goes without saying that if a company cannot produce sales then there is no ability to generate cash flow. By that logic we look very closely at revenue numbers as our second most important factor in valuing a company’s stock. We have established reasonable Price to Sales per share ranges based on historical data of the last 10 years. For, NAV the high and low end of the Price to Sales per share ratios are 0.39x and 0.17x respectively.
Notice that NAV’s current Price to Sales per share ratio is 0.25x, which is below its historical average only slightly. So, while not a huge positive for our analysis, we do feel it is worth noting that NAV does look a bit undervalued on a Price to Sales basis, all other factors being equal. However, if the Price to Sales ratio drops further, Ockham Research is likely to become more bullish on this stock.
NAV Cash Earnings
Cash Earnings is always one of the most important factors to review for a company and, more importantly, an investment in a stock. NAV is significantly below its historical average multiple of Cash Earnings. Looking at the last 10 years we can get a good understanding of what investors have grown to expect from NAV. For example, NAV’s Cash Earnings ratio per share has fluctuated between 5.01 and 11.67 over this historical timeframe. This range is based upon a proprietary weighted methodology at Ockham, but can clearly show an investor where NAV is with respect to prior business periods.
So with NAV’s current price (latest close of $40.53) and most recent level of Cash Earnings reported, we see significant opportunity from a value perspective. At its current price level, NAV is 27% below its average level of Price to Cash Earnings on a historical basis. This means that investors were willing to pay for a much higher stock price than currently for the same level of Cash in the past, on a relative basis. There are a couple of important things to remember, however. First, value doesn’t exist in a vacuum. So if the market doesn’t recognize this value, even a great disparity in Price to Cash Earnings cannot force an immediate stock price reaction. Second, patience is key when looking at securities that have reached these levels of Price to Cash Earnings versus their historical norms. So be patient with NAV.
NAV Dividends
A positive Ockham rating does not require a company to pay out an inviting dividend or a dividend at all. However, we believe dividends provide a useful measure of a company’s inherent expectations. While we do like to see companies with healthy and growing dividends, it is not appropriate for all companies, especially those focused on growth. In this regard, we regard NAV as neutral because we do not have historical data for this company’s dividends. We will being incorporating this into our analysis as soon as that data is available.
News Breaking on Navistar International Corporation on Zero Hedge
The latest news from business television and influential blogs is always available through Ockham’s RazorWire, and this news is in relation to Navistar International Corporation.
Navistar International Corporation received our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the price at the time of the report of $42.34 did not seem out of line with the fundamentals. The price has fallen since then and all other things being equal that makes NAV more attractive. A significant sell off of $4.09 is underway right now, so investors in NAV should pay close attention to the news. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; NAV has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs.
“… RECENT RATING ACTIONSTEEKAY CORP (TK)KROGER CO/THE (KR)ZIONS BANCORPORATION (ZION)US CONCRETE INC (RMIX)NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORP (NAV)ALLERGAN INC/UNITED STATES (AGN)MARSHALL & … …”
Zero Hedge: What is Happening with Navistar International Corporation Now?
The latest news from business television and influential blogs is always available through Ockham’s RazorWire, and this news is in relation to Navistar International Corporation.
Navistar International Corporation receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; NAV has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs. A significant sell off of $2.34 is underway right now, so investors in NAV should pay close attention to the news. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform.
“… RECENT RATING ACTIONSZIONS BANCORPORATION (ZION)HUNTINGTON BANCSHARES (HBAN)COLLECTIVE BRANDS INC (PSS)NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORP (NAV)ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV NV (ABI BB)PARKER … …”
Earnings Per Share at NAV Were on the Docket at Seeking Alpha Wall St Breakfast
We thought our clients would like to be aware of a news story involving NAV’s earnings per share.
As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, NAV has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on NAV. The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like NAV and believes that it will Underperform.
“… (PR, earnings call transcript) NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL (NAV): FQ1 EPS of $0. 23 may not be comparable to estimate of $0. 85. Revenue of $2. 8B (-5%) vs. $3. 2B. Shares -7. …”
Navistar International Corporation (NAV) Discussed on Fox Business’s Money For Breakfast
Navistar International Corporation is in the news. Find out how this impacts NAV trading on Ockham Research.
That stock is looking pretty good here. Up to 20.61 in the premarket for texas instruments. We will see if that’s able to drive tech-related stocks higher in today’s trading. Number two on our list before I toss to ashley NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL. It is in the truck business. They make trucks of commercial use and what have you. They came out a little while ago with an earnings report that looks pretty poor 60 cents per
“… the truck business. They make trucks of commercial use and what have you. They came out a little while ago with an earnings report that looks pretty poor 60 cents per …”