NVDA Investment Analysis Report & Stock Research, NVIDIA Corp.

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

NVDA Stock Report

2-Year Price History

View Larger NVDA Chart
NASDAQ:NVDA
$16.24
(2/9 1:48PM)
+0.3%
Open$16.45 Mkt Cap$9.0 Billion
High$16.53 52Wk High$18.96
Low$15.9 52Wk Low$7.47
Volume15.7 Million Avg Vol 10D17.5 Million

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NVDA Revenue

As a value investing shop, we are interested in seeing how NVDA's revenues measure up against past performances. One easily understandable way of doing that is to compare Price to Sales per share levels over a given time frame. Assuming it is available, Ockham prefers to look at ten years of history (for this stock there are 10 years of history available) and we weigh recent years more heavily. This allows us to find weighted average historical high and low Price to Sales ratios, which give us a better idea of the stock's current underlying value. Using this method, we have established a high range for Price to Sales of 3.89x and the low end of the range at 1.52x.

With respect to these historically rational metrics, notice that the current Price to Sales per share ratio for NVDA of 3.19x is high enough compared with historical norms of NVDA to cause some concern. The current Price to Sales per share is near the upper end of the historical range. In our eyes, this is a negative factor because it is more likely that it will return to the normal range than continue rising outside of the range. At current sales per share levels, we would need to see a decline in the Price to Sales ratio of 17% merely to return NVDA to its historical average.

NVDA Cash Earnings

Price to Cash Earnings analysis is inappropriate for this company due to anticipated negative cash flows for this year. A negative cash flow presents many complications when comparing the company's current value to historically normal valuations. Clearly, when a company fails to earn a profit, it should be a concern for investors. As such, we have taken a negative view on NVDA from a cash perspective. We should point out that this metric is a significant element in Ockham’s methodology for analyzing the outlook for any company. Many young companies have come through difficult times like this before; these companies have an opportunity to grow revenue appropriately to bring them around to profitablity. However, for mature company's with a history of positive cash flow this can be much more distressing. Therefore, for NVDA, our overall valutaion is now more dependent on the Price to Sales analysis, and investors should be cautious with a company with very limited, if any, positive cash earnings.

NVDA Dividends

When determining a company's future prospects for success, Ockham Research sees analysis of dividend payments as a key additional factor. Even though it isn't imperative for NVDA to shell out a dividend in order to receive a positive rating, it can be helpful to further our analysis. Although they may currently pay a dividend, our data source has no historical record of it for NVDA. Since we cannot apply our historical trend analysis to dividends for NVDA we have a neutral score for the dividend portion of our analysis.

Peer Comparison

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NVIDIA Corp. Industry Grouping

(2/8/2010)
Company Ticker Market Cap (Ml) Latest
Price
Price/Cash Earnings Price/Sales 5-Yr. Rev.
Growth Rate
5-Yr.
Avg. ROE.
Current 10-Yr. Range* Current 10-Yr. Range*
Peer Company Averages (not including NVDA) 27.51 5.41 » 80.66 3.16 1.70 » 16.40 -2.88% 12.58%
*10 year range does not include current year values
Agilent Technologies, Inc. A $10.2 Billion $29.20 76.76 2.99 » 83.61 2.27 0.77 » 3.52 -9.00% 29.10%
First Solar, Inc. FSLR $9.5 Billion $111.21 14.75 11.85 » 150.01 5.19 4.31 » 44.15 n/a 7.43%
United Microelectronics Corp. ADS UMC $9.1 Billion $3.50 19.17 3.91 » 30.50 3.03 1.18 » 14.40 0.95% 6.70%
NVIDIA Corp. NVDA $9.0 Billion $16.19 -1.00 7.55 » 71.30 3.19 0.59 » 7.94 13.44% 16.42%
Analog Devices, Inc. ADI $7.8 Billion $26.80 20.23 5.54 » 51.40 3.90 2.02 » 10.74 -5.22% 18.16%
Micron Technology Inc MU $7.6 Billion $8.91 6.64 2.74 » 87.78 1.44 0.21 » 9.21 1.75% 1.50%
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3:28P, Jan. 22,2010 NVDA $16.47 NVIDIA Corp.
Closing Bell

See Who is Talking About News from NVDA on Closing Bell

The latest news from business television and influential blogs is always available through Ockham's RazorWire, and this news is in relation to NVIDIA Corporation.

The Motley Fool CAPS data suggests that investors believe NVIDIA Corporation will beat the market in the foreseeable future. When looking at our entire coverage universe and ranking stocks by the attention they receive on RazorWire, it is clear that NVIDIA Corporation has been talked about more than normal recently. At Ockham, we are not advising buying NVIDIA Corporation at the current price level because according to our methodology it is not supported by the fundamentals.

“… I want to draw your attention to shares of rambus and also NVIDIA. It looks like the international trade commission has ruled in favor of rambus and said that indeed, three of ... …”

3:05P, Jan. 15,2010 NVDA $16.94 NVIDIA Corp.
Closing Bell

See More News on NVDA from Closing Bell

NVIDIA Corporation is one of the thousands of companies that Ockham has news analytics on, and it was recently discussed on Closing Bell.

Crowd sentiment is leaning to the bearish side, according to the robust data set collected by the Motley Fool CAPS survey. Ranking all stocks in terms of news coverage offers some interesting data. In the case of NVDA, it is getting significantly more attention in recent news coverage than we are used to seeing. At the current price, value investors will want to look elsewhere for a buying opportunity as this stock has heated up and is currently Overvalued.

“… NVIDIA down 4%. Then the jpmorgan led weakness in the financials is carrying over to the regional banks that trade here at the nasdaq and to add insult to injury, there was an ... …”

9:32A, Jan. 15,2010 NVDA $17.50 NVIDIA Corp.
Squawk On The Street

Earnings Per Share at NVDA Were on the Docket at Squawk On The Street

Squawk On The Street discussed earnings per share, which is one of the metrics we look at most closely. At Ockham, anytime earnings are discussed we must pay attention.

When looking at our entire coverage universe and ranking stocks by the attention they receive on RazorWire, it is clear that NVIDIA Corporation has been talked about more than normal recently. The Motley Fool CAPS data suggests that investors believe NVIDIA Corporation will beat the market in the foreseeable future. At Ockham, we are not advising buying NVIDIA Corporation at the current price level because according to our methodology it is not supported by the fundamentals.

“… NVIDIA is down. Qualcomm is up almost 1%. The philly semiconductor index off 0. 3% right now. Apple shares up 0. 5%. What we've got is credit suisse raising its full-year ... …”

10:15A, Jan. 04,2010 NVDA $18.38 NVIDIA Corp.
Squawk On The Street

Analysts' Take on NVIDIA Corporation Mentioned on Squawk On The Street

When the television or blog talks about an analysts' opinion it could have a major impact on the stock.

At the current price, value investors will want to look elsewhere for a buying opportunity as this stock has heated up and is currently Overvalued. The price has continued to rise to $18.38 even since we issued the Overvalued stance at a lower price. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; NVDA has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs. The latest news on NVDA has created quite a stir as the stock is trading $2.73 higher in today's session. Crowd sentiment is leaning to the bearish side, according to the robust data set collected by the Motley Fool CAPS survey.

“… citigroup it's good for about 1%. NVIDIA, one of the top five performers in the s&p 500 for the month of december is weaker …”

1:04P, Dec. 31,2009 NVDA $18.80 NVIDIA Corp.
Power Lunch

Power Lunch: What is Happening with NVIDIA Corporation Now?

The latest news on Power Lunch in regards to NVDA came through on RazorWire recently.

When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, NVIDIA Corporation has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. Crowd sentiment is favorable on this stock, as measured by the Motley Fool CAPS survey. As of this week's report, we have an Overvalued valuation on NVDA because the price has gotten too high to be justified by the fundamentals, and since that time the price has only continued to appreciate. Take notice of the news on this stock because it is up $3.16 since the close of trading yesterday.

“… 5% jump yesterday the philly semiconductor index up again, well off of its highs of the day with shares of NVIDIA and marvel, mary talking about marvel comics this is the ... …”

11:05A, Dec. 31,2009 NVDA $18.88 NVIDIA Corp.
The Call

More News Than Normal on NVDA from The Call

Something important is going on with NVDA today, as it is getting a lot of attention on business television and influential blogs.

As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, NVDA has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. Check the news on this stock because there is a catalyst that has allowed this stock to advance 20.64% today. At Ockham, we are not advising buying NVIDIA Corporation at the current price level because according to our methodology it is not supported by the fundamentals. Even since our report, the price has increased 24.1%. The Motley Fool CAPS data suggests that investors believe NVIDIA Corporation will beat the market in the foreseeable future.

“… Nonetheless, shares of marvel, rather, and NVIDIA hitting new highs this morning among other stocks in the chip space. We've got the electronic health records company stocks ... …”

10:04A, Dec. 31,2009 NVDA $18.86 NVIDIA Corp.
Squawk On The Street

Stocks in the News: NVIDIA Corporation Among the Twenty Most Discussed Stocks

We are observing a lot of attention being paid to NVDA in the news, so if you hold the stock you may want to take a look at what is going on.

At the current price, value investors will want to look elsewhere for a buying opportunity as this stock has heated up and is currently Overvalued. The price has continued to rise to $18.86 even since we issued the Overvalued stance at a lower price. The latest news on NVDA has created quite a stir as the stock is trading $3.21 higher in today's session. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; NVDA has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs. Crowd sentiment is leaning to the bearish side, according to the robust data set collected by the Motley Fool CAPS survey.

“… 6% and several of the stocks in that sector including NVIDIA and marvell once again hitting new highs this morning. NVIDIA up 1%. Marvell up 0. 8%. …”

4:51P, Dec. 30,2009 NVDA $18.67 NVIDIA Corp.
Closing Bell

What are the Experts Saying? Analysts and NVDA on Closing Bell

When the television or blog talks about an analysts' opinion it could have a major impact on the stock.

At the current price, value investors will want to look elsewhere for a buying opportunity as this stock has heated up and is currently Overvalued. The price has continued to rise to $18.67 even since we issued the Overvalued stance at a lower price. The latest news on NVDA has created quite a stir as the stock is trading $3.02 higher in today's session. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; NVDA has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs. Crowd sentiment is leaning to the bearish side, according to the robust data set collected by the Motley Fool CAPS survey.

“… NVIDIA and marvel upgraded to hold. Both companies should benefit from an improving pc market. Also hiking its price target to $22 from 14 and taking its target or marvell to ... …”

3:35P, Dec. 30,2009 NVDA $18.67 NVIDIA Corp.
Countdown to the Closing Bell

Be Aware There is a Lot of News Today On NVDA and This Instance Comes from Countdown to the Closing Bell

We are observing a lot of attention being paid to NVDA in the news, so if you hold the stock you may want to take a look at what is going on.

As of this week's report, we have an Overvalued valuation on NVDA because the price has gotten too high to be justified by the fundamentals, and since that time the price has only continued to appreciate. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, NVIDIA Corporation has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. Take notice of the news on this stock because it is up $3.02 since the close of trading yesterday. Crowd sentiment is favorable on this stock, as measured by the Motley Fool CAPS survey.

“… Raising marvel and NVIDIA to the broad com. The security class action litigation. Look at the estimate if you want to buy the group as one. Up 1. 5%. > > …”

3:21P, Dec. 30,2009 NVDA $18.66 NVIDIA Corp.
Countdown to the Closing Bell

Countdown to the Closing Bell Discusses Higher Prices and NVIDIA Corporation

An abnormally high price is obviously a joyous occasion for investors in that stock. See what Countdown to the Closing Bell was talking about for NVDA below.

The Motley Fool CAPS data suggests that investors believe NVIDIA Corporation will beat the market in the foreseeable future. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, NVDA has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. Check the news on this stock because there is a catalyst that has allowed this stock to advance 19.21% today. At Ockham, we are not advising buying NVIDIA Corporation at the current price level because according to our methodology it is not supported by the fundamentals. Even since our report, the price has increased 22.7%.

“… Shares of NVIDIA hitting a 52-week high. Kauffman brothers raising the rating on the chip maker from buy to hold saying the company is going to benefit from improving market for ... …”

View All NVIDIA Corp. Stock News

Key Fundamentals

NVDA - NVIDIA Corporation Fundamentals
Price (2/9 1:48PM) $16.24
Volume (2/9 1:48PM) 15.7 Million
Last Close Price $16.19
10 Day Average Volume 17.5 Million
13 Week Price Range $12.53 - $18.96
52 Week Price Range $7.47 - $18.96
LTM Revenue $2.8 Billion
 
Shares Outstanding (01/2009) 554.9 Million
Market Capitalization $9.0 Billion
Shares Held By Institutions 451.9 Million
Institutional Holders 573
% Shares Held By Institutions 82.50%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) ($0.05)
P/E Ratio n/a
Book Value Per Share $4.37
 
Gross Margin 38.10%
Annual Dividend 0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Beta 1.78
Fiscal Year Ends January

About NVIDIA Corp.

NVIDIA Corporation is considered to operate in the Technology sector. They specifically operate in the Semiconductor-Specialized business segment contained within the Electronics industry.

The Company provides visual computing technologies. It is the inventor of graphic processing unit, a high-performance processor which generates realistic, interactive graphics on workstations, personal computers, game consoles, and mobile devices.