NYSE:TIF
$40.12
(2/9 10:18AM)
+0.8%
| Open | $40.35 |
Mkt Cap | $5.0 Billion |
| High | $40.35 |
52Wk High | $47.02 |
| Low | $39.78 |
52Wk Low | $16.70 |
| Volume | 266,328 |
Avg Vol 10D | 1.9 Million |
Ockham's Rating/Recommendation Summary
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TIF Revenue
As a value investing shop, we are interested in seeing how TIF's revenues measure up against past performances. One easily understandable way of doing that is to compare Price to Sales per share levels over a given time frame. Assuming it is available, Ockham prefers to look at ten years of history (for this stock there are 10 years of history available) and we weigh recent years more heavily. This allows us to find weighted average historical high and low Price to Sales ratios, which give us a better idea of the stock's current underlying value. Using this method, we have established a high range for Price to Sales of 2.60x and the low end of the range at 1.34x.
With respect to these historically rational metrics, notice that the current Price to Sales per share ratio for TIF of 1.92x is below its historical average only slightly. So, while not a huge positive for our analysis, we do feel it is worth noting that TIF does look a bit undervalued on a Price to Sales basis, all other factors being equal. However, if the Price to Sales ratio drops further, Ockham Research is likely to become more bullish on this stock.
TIF Cash Earnings
As a value investment framework, Ockham Research is similar to a private equity firm in terms of our valuation methods. We are always on the lookout for value in the form of sales and cash numbers. In the case of TIF, Ockham views their current Cash Earnings as significantly above its historical average multiple of Cash Earnings. Looking at the last 10 years we can get a good understanding of what investors have grown to expect from TIF. For example, TIF's Cash Earnings ratio per share has fluctuated between 9.70 and 19.64 over this historical timeframe. This range is based upon a proprietary weighted methodology at Ockham, but can clearly show an investor where TIF is with respect to prior business periods.
Just recall that when a stock's price, as in the cases of TIF, is significantly elevated to the level of Cash Earnings being generated, the market has already priced in much of that value. For example, the historical average for TIF's Price to Cash Earnings ratio is 17% below the current ratio of 17.19. That is not an insignificant amount, and diminishes our overall outlook on TIF. However, you need to review several areas of a company's potential, and as management would point out, one metric is not the end-all-be-all of any analysis.
TIF Dividends
A strong dividend payment history is looked upon as a favorable characteristic on a company’s future and potentially can receive a positive Ockham rating. That being said, we don't require dividend payments for company's whose management has elected to forgo them entirely.
When reviewing dividend yields for TIF, we compare the historic high and low levels over the past, which is similar to our evaluation of Sales and Cash Earnings per share. Paying a dividend is not necessary for any company, but changes in dividend often can lend clues as to the health of the business. A rising dividend is a strong sign for an established company, as it reflects management's confidence in the company. TIF’s estimated annual dividend is $0.68 resulting in a current dividend yield of 1.71%. The highest dividend yield from TIF over recent history was 4.07% while the lowest dividend yield was 0.38%. While it is quite common for a growth stock to pay no dividend at all, but for a mature company such as TIF that has a history of paying dividends it is disappointing to see their dividend yield drop so significantly. At this time, the current dividend yield is 23.15% below the median yield.
TIF's Earnings Were Talked About on Closing Bell
The name of the game in business is profit, and we always pay attention for TIF news as it relates to earnings.
Tiffany & Co. receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform. Ranking all stocks in terms of news coverage offers some interesting data. In the case of TIF, it is getting significantly more attention in recent news coverage than we are used to seeing.
“… TIFFANY's has been holding up. You've got to be able to move, get great numbers now, to move these stocks forward, because they're priced for the kind of recovery that I was ... …”
Notice a Discussion Covering TIF Appeared Recently in the Financial News
As always, the latest news on TIF is available to Ockham clients through RazorWire, and it was mentioned recently on Power Lunch.
When looking at our entire coverage universe and ranking stocks by the attention they receive on RazorWire, it is clear that Tiffany & Co. has been talked about more than normal recently. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TIF. The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like TIF and believes that it will Underperform.
“… And neither is TIFFANY's and neither are cab drivers and neither are doormen. > > I like your gallows humor here. We can use a little humor after the past year and what ... …”
Tiffany & Co. News is Being Covered Right Now on Power Lunch
Tiffany & Co. is one of the thousands of companies that Ockham has news analytics on, and it was recently discussed on Power Lunch.
Ranking all stocks in terms of news coverage offers some interesting data. In the case of TIF, it is getting significantly more attention in recent news coverage than we are used to seeing. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform. Tiffany & Co. receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals.
“… What also helps on that is that when you're operating on 70% gross margins, I look at TIFFANY and we say, what's going to hainum prices go up they own the channel, they pass it ... …”
Blue Chips and TIF on Power Lunch
Bellwether stocks are those that give you are good indication of the direction of their industry and the economy. Power Lunch mentioned Tiffany & Co. in their discussion of blue chip stocks.
When looking at our entire coverage universe and ranking stocks by the attention they receive on RazorWire, it is clear that Tiffany & Co. has been talked about more than normal recently. The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like TIF and believes that it will Underperform. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TIF.
“… TIFFANY raised overweight and that stock up by $1. Let's head to matt nesto for "real time flash. " > > we are seeing the materials leave the marketplace bouncing back. …”
Undervalued or Overvalued? Fast Money Takes on TIF's Valuation
Fast Money mentions some valuation metrics in regards to TIF; have a read at what they think from Ockham's RazorWire.
As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, TIF has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TIF. The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like TIF and believes that it will Underperform.
“… If you look at some of the names, the most typical names you think of when you think of high-end retailers, TIFFANY, ralph lauren, those are each trading at significant premiums ... …”
Stocks in the News: Tiffany & Co. Among the Twenty Most Discussed Stocks
TIF has been one of the most active stocks in the news today, so investors in it will want to pay attention to what is happening.
The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like TIF and believes that it will Underperform. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, TIF has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TIF.
“… culinary sort of calculation. >> I guess not. >> there's other things going on. >> I guess not. Coming up next, TIFFANY sales …”
TIF Having an Active Day in News, Now on Closing Bell
We are observing a lot of attention being paid to TIF in the news, so if you hold the stock you may want to take a look at what is going on.
When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Tiffany & Co. has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see Tiffany & Co. underperforming. The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on TIF because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals.
“… Karen fireman is getting out some of those high end retailers on the day that TIFFANY raises its forecast. Which retailers she's selling and which retailers she's buying ... …”
Stocks to Watch: TIF Heavily Covered on Closing Bell
We are observing a lot of attention being paid to TIF in the news, so if you hold the stock you may want to take a look at what is going on.
When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Tiffany & Co. has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see Tiffany & Co. underperforming. The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on TIF because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals.
“… TIFFANY this san interesting story, a good story. Global holiday sales up 17%. Raise the outlook. As you see from looking at your screen, the stock was down. …”
Stocks in the News: Tiffany & Co. Among the Twenty Most Discussed Stocks
TIF has been one of the most active stocks in the news today, so investors in it will want to pay attention to what is happening.
As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, TIF has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like TIF and believes that it will Underperform. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TIF.
“… And TIFFANY down 1/2%. > > the second-best start to the year. Looked at the treasury's rallying. There's still a lot of demand. > > looking beyond america, he is over with. ... …”
Stocks in the News: Tiffany & Co. Among the Twenty Most Discussed Stocks
TIF has been one of the most active stocks in the news today, so investors in it will want to pay attention to what is happening.
We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; TIF has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs. Tiffany & Co. receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform.
“… TIFFANY says global holiday sales up 17%. They raised the outlook. Stock was down. Part of the reason to that, stock has been up 108% over the past year. …”