BJ Investment Analysis Report & Stock Research, BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc.

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BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc. (BJ)

BJ Stock Report

2-Year Price History

Recent Price
(7/2 4:15PM) -2.3%
$31.48
52-Week Price
$27.26 - $44.29
Market Capitalization
$1.7 Billion
Dividend Yield
0.00%
Most Recent Dividend
$0.00

Ockham's Rating

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BJ Revenue

As we have often noted, in our valuation methodology, "Cash is King." Well, it goes without saying that if a company cannot produce sales then there is no ability to generate cash flow. By that logic we look very closely at revenue numbers as our second most important factor in valuing a company's stock. We have established reasonable Price to Sales per share ranges based on historical data of the last 10 years. For, BJ the high and low end of the Price to Sales per share ratios are 0.32x and 0.19x respectively.

Notice that BJ's current Price to Sales per share ratio is 0.18x, which is quite a bit below what we consider a normal Price to Sales ratio for this stock. Given normal conditions and a price of $31.48, BJ is 30% below where we would expect to see it. This will beneficially factor into our final analysis of BJ as it is not often that this stock sinks to these levels.

BJ Cash Earnings

As a value investment framework, Ockham Research is similar to a private equity firm in terms of our valuation methods. We are always on the lookout for value in the form of sales and cash numbers. In the case of BJ, Ockham views their current Cash Earnings as significantly below its historical average multiple of cash earnings as calculated by Ockham. Similar to our analysis of sales per share, Ockham looks at the last 10 years of cash earnings levels for BJ to identify where the current high and low price levels have been historically in relation to profit per share. Again, we utilize a weighted average methodology which relies more heavily on recent years of data. This weighted average framework provides us with an average high Price to Cash Earnings ratio per share of 11.80 and a 7.35 low over the same period.

Now that BJ’s current price is $31.48 and its Price to Cash Earnings ratio is 7.00, we are very positive on its outlook from the cash earnings perspective. In fact, BJ is now trading a full 27% below its average historical Price to Cash Earnings ratio at these profit per share levels. When our clients ask us why BJ has great long term potential, the Cash Earnings levels to current stock is one of our primary reasons. But naturally, now we need for the overall market to recognize this disparity.

BJ Dividends

A strong dividend payment history is looked upon as a favorable characteristic on a company’s future and potentially can receive a positive Ockham rating. That being said, we don't require dividend payments for company's whose management has elected to forgo them entirely. Although they may currently pay a dividend, our data source has no historical record of it for BJ. Since we cannot apply our historical trend analysis to dividends for BJ we have a neutral score for the dividend portion of our analysis.

Peer Comparison

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BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc. Industry Grouping

(7/2/2009)
Company Ticker Market Cap (Ml) Latest
Price
Price/Cash Earnings Price/Sales 5-Yr. Rev.
Growth Rate
5-Yr.
Avg. ROE.
Current 10-Yr. Range* Current 10-Yr. Range*
Peer Company Averages (not incuding BJ) 14.45 4.07 » 41.64 0.62 0.22 » 2.59 4.41% 72.21%
*10 year range does not include current year values
BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc. BJ $1.7 Billion $31.48 7.00 3.35 » 28.50 0.18 0.10 » 0.78 8.22% 11.64%
Big Lots, Inc. BIG $1.7 Billion $20.32 7.36 4.27 » 46.28 0.35 0.22 » 0.68 2.16% 11.52%
RadioShack Corp. RSH $1.7 Billion $13.39 5.67 3.45 » 36.94 0.43 0.24 » 2.82 -1.90% 29.58%
Chico's FAS, Inc. CHS $1.6 Billion $9.11 20.70 3.91 » 36.85 0.90 0.19 » 5.99 15.54% 16.04%
J.Crew Group, Inc. JCG $1.6 Billion $24.99 17.62 4.96 » 31.25 1.15 0.35 » 2.64 n/a 295.49%
Foot Locker, Inc. FL $1.6 Billion $10.02 20.88 3.76 » 56.84 0.28 0.11 » 0.82 1.85% 8.41%
>
Ockham Ratings & Analysis Report
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The latest TV Media Discussion

6:38:06 PM BJ $36.35 BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc.
RAZORWIRE
Mad Money
6/1/2009 6:38 PM
“…Sorry, costco. That's how it works. We can't endorse both as trade down but not two down plays. And right now BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, as sad as this is for me, because I truly do not like to shop there as much as costco, it looks like to be the one to buy. …” …more details…
6:29:56 PM BJ $35.73 BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc.
RAZORWIRE
Mad Money
6/1/2009 6:29 PM
“…Trading under the symbol cost. And its scrappy challenger for the coveted title of best of breed warehouse wholesaler. Hailing from BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB. That's bj, for all you home gamers. Tell me you've never had these. Have you ever had their crab they're so good. …” …more details…
7:48:07 AM BJ $35.63 BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc.
RAZORWIRE
Money For Breakfast
5/29/2009 7:48 AM
“…Politics. Laodicean, alexis. Alexis: there you go. Jenna: maybe you can put that into your next interview. Alexis: I don't know that's jenna thank you very much. BJ'S WHOLESALE is giving a positive outlook for its full year earnings expectations after the big box retailer recently posted higher than expected first quarter profit. Bj's reported last week net …” …more details…
7:30:15 AM BJ $35.63 BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc.
RAZORWIRE
Money For Breakfast
5/29/2009 7:30 AM
“…@?@?@?@;@;@;@;@;@;@; alexis: good morning and welcome back to "money for breakfast." i'm alexis glick. Coming up, why is billionaire mark cuban suing the sec? We're going to tell you. >>> and the ceo of BJ'S WHOLESALE laura sen joining us shortly to talk about how she's keeping the retailers' success >>> and in just moments, bank of new york's chairman and ceo bob kelly will be joining us to talk …” …more details…
5:37:01 PM BJ $36.70 BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc.
RAZORWIRE
Fast Money
5/20/2009 5:37 PM
“…>> we're talking about the mccafe and the rest of the the growth story long-term. But be careful it's 57 bucks. It's on the higher end of the recent range. Wait for it to pull back toward 51. >> BJ'S WHOLESALE down 4%. >> this is a place I actually called dirty. Because it is. They're filthy stores and not very good stock here. Get out. Time to take your profits in BJ'S WHOLESALE. >> arch coal up 4%. >> coal names love them. Natural gas. Like natural gas as well. Natural gas goes up coal's going to go up. A former nfl qup, mvp, …” …more details…
8:02:47 AM BJ $30.05 BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc.
RAZORWIRE
Money For Breakfast
4/9/2009 8:02 AM
“…Declines. You would expect that from a lot of these companies. At least one, there's the gap, a volatile stock price we showed you a moment ago. There are some stocks at BJ'S WHOLESALE, companies beating expectations. >>> let's go to macy's. March sales at macy's. Down 9% plus, 9.2% to be exact is the macy's number. These are all just crossing …” …more details…
7:56:11 AM BJ $30.05 BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc.
RAZORWIRE
Squawk Box
3/10/2009 7:56 AM
“…The shares are going to remain. >> hallmark downgraded to hold from buy at citigroup, and it was cut to 28. BJ'S WHOLESALE was downgraded to under perform from neutral at credit suisse on the expectations of increased competition from wal-mart. Target, though, remains -- >> increased competition from wal-mart? …” …more details…
2:06:16 PM BJ $29.86 BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc.
RAZORWIRE
Street Signs
3/4/2009 2:06 PM
“…Another beige black book, we want to take a look at what we're dolling the spring look, the silver linings across america. BJ'S WHOLESALE reporting higher prices today, and in california, investing in the ports of oakland, creating up to 6,000 it's a double "street signs" …” …more details…
7:54:38 AM BJ $27.44 BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc.
RAZORWIRE
Squawk Box
3/4/2009 7:54 AM
“…By you and others like you. It was the unsettling animal. >> you're suspicious. >> i'm worried. I'm not going to take the rap for this one. BJ'S WHOLESALE, 89 cents. Look at the stock. 45 on low, but 89 credibilities was 3 cents ahead. Revenue was okay and guidance …” …more details…
View All BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc. News

Key Fundamentals

BJ - BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc. Fundamentals
Price (7/2 4:15PM) $31.48
Volume (7/2 4:15PM) 898,235
Last Close Price $32.22
10 Day Average Volume 1.3 Million
13 Week Price Range $29.75 - $39.59
52 Week Price Range $27.26 - $44.29
LTM Revenue $10.0 Billion
 
Shares Outstanding (01/2009) 55.5 Million
Market Capitalization $1.7 Billion
Shares Held By Institutions 58.1 Million
Institutional Holders 325
% Shares Held By Institutions %
Earnings Per Share (EPS) $2.28
P/E Ratio 12.90
Book Value Per Share $17.27
 
Gross Margin 11.10%
Annual Dividend 0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Beta 0.55
Fiscal Year Ends January

About BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc.

BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc. is considered to operate in the Services sector. They specifically operate in the Discount, Variety Stores business segment contained within the Retail industry.

The Company is a warehouse club operator in the Eastern United States.

Market Direction
NASDAQ 1796.52

-49.2  -2.67%
Market Direction
S&P 500 896.42

-26.91  -2.91%
Market Direction
^DIA 82.99

-2.04  -2.4%