URBN Investment Analysis Report & Stock Research, Urban Outfitters, Inc.

Urban Outfitters, Incorporated (URBN)

URBN Stock Report

2-Year Price History

View Larger URBN Chart
NASDAQ:URBN
$31.69
(2/9 1:33PM)
+2.5%
Open$31.37 Mkt Cap$5.2 Billion
High$31.81 52Wk High$36.23
Low$31.06 52Wk Low$13.63
Volume3.0 Million Avg Vol 10D6.7 Million

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URBN Revenue

As a value investing shop, we are interested in seeing how URBN's revenues measure up against past performances. One easily understandable way of doing that is to compare Price to Sales per share levels over a given time frame. Assuming it is available, Ockham prefers to look at ten years of history (for this stock there are 10 years of history available) and we weigh recent years more heavily. This allows us to find weighted average historical high and low Price to Sales ratios, which give us a better idea of the stock's current underlying value. Using this method, we have established a high range for Price to Sales of 3.83x and the low end of the range at 1.73x.

With respect to these historically rational metrics, notice that the current Price to Sales per share ratio for URBN of 2.80x is slightly above its historical average. This level of Price to Sales gives us a fairly neutral position on the shares. We would like to see a drop in the Price to Sales ratio of 0% given current sales figures before we would become more positive on a Price to Sales basis. Such a drop would put Price to Sales per share in line with URBN's weighted historical average.

URBN Cash Earnings

Looking at URBN specifically in their Cash Earnings capabilities, Ockham views URBN as below its historical average multiple of Cash Earnings. Looking at the last 10 years we can get a good understanding of what investors have grown to expect from URBN. For example, URBN's Cash Earnings ratio per share has fluctuated between 12.04 and 27.06 over this historical timeframe. This range is based upon a proprietary weighted methodology at Ockham, but can clearly show an investor where URBN is with respect to prior business periods.

At its current price of $30.83, the Price to Cash Earnings ratio of 19.03 per share for URBN is relatively attractive. At current profitability levels, a drop in share price would only improve our future expectations. Again, Cash Earnings is an incredibly valuable metric, and management at URBN must continue on its generation to improve our overall outlook for the stock.

URBN Dividends

When determining a company's future prospects for success, Ockham Research sees analysis of dividend payments as a key additional factor. Even though it isn't imperative for URBN to shell out a dividend in order to receive a positive rating, it can be helpful to further our analysis. Although they may currently pay a dividend, our data source has no historical record of it for URBN. Since we cannot apply our historical trend analysis to dividends for URBN we have a neutral score for the dividend portion of our analysis.

Peer Comparison

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Urban Outfitters, Inc. Industry Grouping

(2/8/2010)
Company Ticker Market Cap (Ml) Latest
Price
Price/Cash Earnings Price/Sales 5-Yr. Rev.
Growth Rate
5-Yr.
Avg. ROE.
Current 10-Yr. Range* Current 10-Yr. Range*
Peer Company Averages (not including URBN) 11.72 5.51 » 19.05 0.74 0.36 » 1.37 10.82% 16.27%
*10 year range does not include current year values
J.C. Penney Company, Inc. JCP $5.7 Billion $24.30 7.66 2.97 » 13.43 0.32 0.11 » 0.98 0.78% 19.92%
Ross Stores, Inc. ROST $5.6 Billion $45.19 10.28 6.14 » 18.27 0.82 0.42 » 1.14 10.59% 26.06%
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. ORLY $5.2 Billion $38.19 13.36 8.42 » 20.89 1.10 0.75 » 1.91 18.79% 12.04%
Urban Outfitters, Inc. URBN $5.2 Billion $30.91 19.03 4.77 » 32.82 2.80 0.43 » 5.10 27.32% 20.14%
Companhia Brasiliera de Distribuicao CBD $4.5 Billion $66.47 18.02 4.70 » 20.75 0.88 0.23 » 1.26 16.95% 5.18%
Family Dollar Stores, Inc. FDO $4.4 Billion $31.45 9.27 5.33 » 21.91 0.58 0.29 » 1.55 6.98% 18.16%
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Squawk On The Street

Urban Outfitters, Incorporated (URBN) Discussed on CNBC's Squawk On The Street

Urban Outfitters, Incorporated is in the news. Find out how this impacts URBN trading on Ockham Research.

That stock is down 1.5%. It was also downgraded at jp morgan the firm saying most of the positive catalyst for the stock has since played out. URBAN OUTFITTERS up 0.5% added to the top picks live list over at citi and shutter fly and bb stores continue to watch them as well a couple retailers doing and bebe was upgraded as well. >> I like to keep my eye on gasoline futures on jobs day because when you get the jobs data out showing the unemployment rate, also showing

“… URBAN OUTFITTERS up 0. 5% added to the top picks live list over at citi and shutter fly and bb stores continue to watch them as well a couple retailers doing and bebe was ... …”

Squawk On The Street

Urban Outfitters, Incorporated (URBN) Discussed on CNBC's Squawk On The Street

Urban Outfitters, Incorporated is in the news. Find out how this impacts URBN trading on Ockham Research.

It was downgraded at jp morgan that firm saying many of the positive catalysts for the company and the stock are now played out. URBAN OUTFITTERS was added to the top picks live list over at citi. We'll keep an eye on that as well. The target there, 42 bucks. Sharon epperson at the nymex. >> reporter: targets will be very key in the technical trading going on in the oil sector. We are looking at oil prices right now higher after the jobs report. We're above $73 a barrel but a lot of the traders I talked to

“… URBAN OUTFITTERS was added to the top picks live list over at citi. We'll keep an eye on that as well. The target there, 42 bucks. Sharon epperson at the nymex. > > …”

Closing Bell

RazorWire has Detected News About URBN on Closing Bell

Staying informed on the news is invaluable for investors, and RazorWire has captured a recently discussion on URBN from Closing Bell.

The latest news on URBN has created quite a stir as the stock is trading $1.83 higher in today's session. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; URBN has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs. Urban Outfitters, Incorporated receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals.

“… URBAN OUTFITTERS on an upgrade this morning. And also you've got warner chilcote. Boosted its earnings outlook and also you've got packard. A earnings better than expected. …”

Squawk On The Street

Looking Ahead to the Next Trading Day: Squawk On The Street Discussed URBN After Hours

Something is causing Urban Outfitters, Incorporated to be a little more active in post market trading, and it was covered by Squawk On The Street recently.

When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Urban Outfitters, Incorporated has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on URBN because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see Urban Outfitters, Incorporated underperforming. Take notice of the news on this stock because it is up $1.82 since the close of trading yesterday.

“… URBAN OUTFITTERS the top gainer percentagewise on an upgrade. San disk posted earnings better than expected yesterday after the close but it is dragging this morning because its ... …”

Power Lunch

Interested in URBN? See What the Pundits Said on Power Lunch

News has broken via the television and viral blogs regarding URBN, so investors should take an interest in learning what was said.

Urban Outfitters, Incorporated receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, URBN has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like URBN and believes that it will Underperform.

“… Route 21, utta a kos metible dealer, and ross stores, URBAN OUTFITTERS, between their core business and their anthropology division and those are the ones that we think will gain ... …”

Squawk On The Street

Urban Outfitters, Incorporated News Appeared on Squawk On The Street

The latest news from business television and influential blogs is always available through Ockham's RazorWire, and this news is in relation to Urban Outfitters, Incorporated.

The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on URBN because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Urban Outfitters, Incorporated has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see Urban Outfitters, Incorporated underperforming.

“… URBAN OUTFITTERS is top of the line and the stock is down it's a terrific buying we're talking about a company who potentially put up mid teens top line growth and 20% earnings I ... …”

Squawk On The Street

Squawk On The Street: What is Happening with Urban Outfitters, Incorporated Now?

The latest news on Squawk On The Street in regards to URBN came through on RazorWire recently.

Urban Outfitters, Incorporated receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. Ranking all stocks in terms of news coverage offers some interesting data. In the case of URBN, it is getting significantly more attention in recent news coverage than we are used to seeing. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform.

“… the gift cards overall were a little bit weaker this year like URBAN OUTFITTERS they saw a rise in gift card sales. That could take a little bit of wind out of january for sure. …”

Squawk Box

See More News on URBN from Squawk Box

The latest news on Squawk Box in regards to URBN came through on RazorWire recently.

The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like URBN and believes that it will Underperform. When looking at our entire coverage universe and ranking stocks by the attention they receive on RazorWire, it is clear that Urban Outfitters, Incorporated has been talked about more than normal recently. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on URBN.

“… URBAN OUTFITTERS reported this morning, their anthropology business is better than expected and overall same-store sales were better than expected. Where are these particular. …”

Closing Bell

Check Out Closing Bell and News on URBN

News has broken via the television and viral blogs regarding URBN, so investors should take an interest in learning what was said.

The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like URBN and believes that it will Underperform. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, URBN has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on URBN. Check the news on this stock because there is a catalyst that has allowed this stock to advance 6.73% today.

“… 2%, pacific sunware up, URBAN OUTFITTERS, $35. 63, a new high, down 1. 25%. Farmersmarket. Cnbc. Com. > > > we are close to the end of the auctions only for this year, of ... …”

Power Lunch

Power Lunch: Discussion of Analysts and Urban Outfitters, Incorporated

When the television or blog talks about an analysts' opinion it could have a major impact on the stock.

The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like URBN and believes that it will Underperform. Check the news on this stock because there is a catalyst that has allowed this stock to advance 7.08% today. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on URBN. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, URBN has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks.

“… URBAN OUTFITTERS trading at a new high today. Because you are talking about coffee, supposedly being good for you, I thought we'd check the coffee trade. …”

View All Urban Outfitters, Inc. Stock News

Key Fundamentals

URBN - Urban Outfitters, Incorporated Fundamentals
Price (2/9 1:33PM) $31.69
Volume (2/9 1:33PM) 3.0 Million
Last Close Price $30.91
10 Day Average Volume 6.7 Million
13 Week Price Range $30.11 - $36.23
52 Week Price Range $13.63 - $36.23
LTM Revenue $1.9 Billion
 
Shares Outstanding (01/2009) 168.5 Million
Market Capitalization $5.2 Billion
Shares Held By Institutions 136.5 Million
Institutional Holders 372
% Shares Held By Institutions 81.20%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) $1.17
P/E Ratio 28.90
Book Value Per Share $7.21
 
Gross Margin 43.20%
Annual Dividend 0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Beta 1.14
Fiscal Year Ends January

About Urban Outfitters, Inc.

Urban Outfitters, Incorporated is considered to operate in the Services sector. They specifically operate in the Apparel Stores business segment contained within the Retail industry.

The main business activity of the Company is the operation of a general consumer product retail and wholesale business selling to customers through various channels including retail stores, three catalogs and four web sites.