TIVO Investment Analysis Report & Stock Research, TiVo, Inc.

TiVo, Incorporated (TIVO)

TIVO Stock Report

2-Year Price History

View Larger TIVO Chart
NASDAQ:TIVO
$8.91
(2/9 10:20AM)
+1.7%
Open$8.88 Mkt Cap$962.8 Million
High$8.95 52Wk High$12.78
Low$8.79 52Wk Low$6.06
Volume165,231 Avg Vol 10D1.5 Million

Ockham's Rating/Recommendation Summary

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TIVO Revenue

Cash earnings is the most important factor in our analysis, but it goes without saying that if a company cannot produce sales then there is no ability to generate cash flow. By that logic we look very closely at revenue numbers as our second most important factor in valuing a company's stock. We have established reasonable Price to Sales per share ranges based on historical data of the last 10 years. For, TIVO the high and low end of the Price to Sales per share ratios are 5.50x and 2.33x respectively.

Notice that TIVO's current Price to Sales per share ratio is 4.23x, which is slightly above its historical average. This level of Price to Sales gives us a fairly neutral position on the shares. We would like to see a drop in the Price to Sales ratio of 7% given current sales figures before we would become more positive on a Price to Sales basis. Such a drop would put Price to Sales per share in line with TIVO's weighted historical average.

TIVO Cash Earnings

Price to Cash Earnings analysis is inappropriate for this company due to an insufficient positive cash earnings history. Rather than calculating a potentially misleading Price to Cash Earnings analysis, we have chosen to give TIVO a neutral Price to Cash Earnings outlook at this time. However, we should point out that this metric is a significant element in Ockham’s methodology to analyzing the outlook for any company. Therefore, for TIVO, our assessment is now more dependent on the Price to Sales analysis, and investors should be cautious with a company with very limited, if any, positive cash earnings.

TIVO Dividends

A positive Ockham rating does not require a company to pay out an inviting dividend or a dividend at all. However, we believe dividends provide a useful measure of a company's inherent expectations. As of the time of this report, our data provider does not have historical data for TIVO. Therefore, we are not utilizing the dividends portion in our study. So, we do not know whether TIVO currently pays a dividend at present or not, we have an "expected dividend" payment listed in key fundamentals but cannot varify it.

Peer Comparison

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TiVo, Inc. Industry Grouping

(2/8/2010)
Company Ticker Market Cap (Ml) Latest
Price
Price/Cash Earnings Price/Sales 5-Yr. Rev.
Growth Rate
5-Yr.
Avg. ROE.
Current 10-Yr. Range* Current 10-Yr. Range*
Peer Company Averages (not including TIVO) 6.17 2.28 » 20.63 0.79 0.36 » 2.29 9.86% 12.42%
*10 year range does not include current year values
Corus Entertainment, Inc. CL B CJR $1.3 Billion $16.75 7.54 2.96 » 18.07 1.89 1.04 » 3.64 7.15% 7.15%
Scholastic Corp. SCHL $982.6 Million $28.25 7.95 3.70 » 14.62 0.55 0.18 » 1.15 -3.71% 3.75%
TiVo, Inc. TIVO $962.8 Million $8.76 -1.00 3.71 » 8.62 4.23 1.47 » 21.40 12.09% 18.71%
Warner Music Group Corp. WMG $740.5 Million $4.79 4.76 1.45 » 41.60 0.24 0.08 » 1.32 12.42% 20.69%
Harte-Hanks Inc HHS $737.4 Million $11.60 9.48 2.83 » 18.10 0.90 0.26 » 2.46 2.77% 20.10%
Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. LGF $594.2 Million $5.05 1.12 0.47 » 10.75 0.39 0.24 » 2.88 30.67% 10.41%
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7:46P, Feb. 04,2010 TIVO $8.93 TiVo, Inc.
Tech Trader Daily-Barron's

Tech Trader Daily-Barron's Discussed the Latest Development of TiVo, Incorporated

The latest news from business television and influential blogs is always available through Ockham's RazorWire, and this news is in relation to TiVo, Incorporated.

TiVo, Incorporated receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. Ranking all stocks in terms of news coverage offers some interesting data. In the case of TIVO, it is getting significantly more attention in recent news coverage than we are used to seeing. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform.

“… Is TIVO (TIVO) about to roll out a new HD DVR? Janney Montgomery Scott analyst Tony Wible pointed out in a short research note today that TIVO’s $250 HD DVR - the primary SKU for ... …”

12:03P, Jan. 21,2010 TIVO $10.35 TiVo, Inc.
Fox Business

Regulators Interested in TIVO? Possibly as Both Were Discussed on Fox Business

A regulatory entity and TiVo, Incorporated were among the topics covered on Fox Business and you can see more details below.

TiVo, Incorporated receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; TIVO has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs.

“… The senior adviser, the latest from inside the beltway, TIVO quote rule as the president called it today. > > the president stepping up with two new proposals to limit their ... …”

7:00P, Jan. 20,2010 TIVO $10.58 TiVo, Inc.
Cavuto

TIVO Gets Mentioned in the Financial Media

The latest news from business television and influential blogs is always available through Ockham's RazorWire, and this news is in relation to TiVo, Incorporated.

The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like TIVO and believes that it will Underperform. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TIVO. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, TIVO has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks.

“… as long as they TIVO. Neil: very good to have you, buddy. There you go. There you go. He's fine with the TIVO thing. Said it live on this very channel. …”

6:01P, Jan. 20,2010 TIVO $10.57 TiVo, Inc.
Cavuto

Cavuto Discussed the Latest Development of TiVo, Incorporated

The latest news from Cavuto on TIVO is available through Ockham's news analytics platform RazorWire.

Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see TiVo, Incorporated underperforming. The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on TIVO because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. In comparison to the other stocks that we follow, TiVo, Incorporated has seen more discussion in relation to its normal ranking among the group. Be aware that the news sources we track are focusing on this stock more often these days.

“… But none matched the shock of the bear, the guy that I suggested you TIVO. A super moment or a supernova? Clearly they have decided. Neil: pay no attention to the. …”

3:12P, Jan. 08,2010 TIVO $10.70 TiVo, Inc.
Countdown to the Closing Bell

Check Out Countdown to the Closing Bell and News on TIVO

As always, the latest news on TIVO is available to Ockham clients through RazorWire, and it was mentioned recently on Countdown to the Closing Bell.

The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on TIVO because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, TiVo, Incorporated has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see TiVo, Incorporated underperforming.

“… you can buy this year from 15, up to 65 with a blu-ray player but also with direct TIVO and 3-d coming out in june and there will be a lot of 3-d programming. > > …”

1:31P, Jan. 07,2010 TIVO $10.79 TiVo, Inc.
Power Lunch

Power Lunch: Get Plugged into TIVO News Regarding The CEO

TiVo, Incorporated's CEO is obviously vital to his company, so we believe any news covering him is worth knowing for investors.

As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, TIVO has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like TIVO and believes that it will Underperform. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TIVO.

“… A company that obviously understands the importance of where television is going and TIVO's role in it. > > seems like interesting partnerships moving forward. …”

1:27P, Jan. 07,2010 TIVO $10.80 TiVo, Inc.
Power Lunch

The Latest News for TIVO Was Just on Power Lunch

Staying informed on the news is invaluable for investors, and RazorWire has captured a recently discussion on TIVO from Power Lunch.

When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, TiVo, Incorporated has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on TIVO because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see TiVo, Incorporated underperforming.

“… Beyond dvr from net flicks, things you can't get on cable or satellite the new measure of what TIVO is all about and best buy is showcasing that in a newing strategic ... …”

1:26P, Jan. 07,2010 TIVO $10.80 TiVo, Inc.
Power Lunch

See Why TiVo, Incorporated News Was Discussed on Power Lunch

News has broken via the television and viral blogs regarding TIVO, so investors should take an interest in learning what was said.

The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like TIVO and believes that it will Underperform. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TIVO. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, TIVO has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks.

“… TIVO has a deal with best buy to have TIVO embedded into the best buy devices and deals with other big players here like netflix, blockbuster. …”

1:25P, Jan. 07,2010 TIVO $10.79 TiVo, Inc.
Power Lunch

The Chief Executive of TIVO Was Discussed on Power Lunch

Ockham is always interested to know what the Chief Executive is doing for their company, and we noticed a mention of TIVO's CEO on Power Lunch.

The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like TIVO and believes that it will Underperform. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TIVO. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, TIVO has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks.

“… TIVO's allowing consumers to time shift and skip ads for the past ten years, ahead of the curve now there. Among other things TIVO's trying to figure out what ads viewers are ... …”

1:21P, Jan. 07,2010 TIVO $10.80 TiVo, Inc.
Power Lunch

A Discussion of TIVO's CEO Occurred on Power Lunch

CEO's are the strategic leaders of their companies, so any mention of them will garner special interest from us.

The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on TIVO because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, TiVo, Incorporated has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see TiVo, Incorporated underperforming.

“… a lot of people wonder who should buy a TIVO when you can get a dvr from your cable plenty of people are buying tivos, as it turns out. First on cnbc TIVO's ceo todd rogers. > ... …”

View All TiVo, Inc. Stock News

Key Fundamentals

TIVO - TiVo, Incorporated Fundamentals
Price (2/9 10:20AM) $8.91
Volume (2/9 10:20AM) 165,231
Last Close Price $8.76
10 Day Average Volume 1.5 Million
13 Week Price Range $8.56 - $11.30
52 Week Price Range $6.06 - $12.78
LTM Revenue $228.3 Million
 
Shares Outstanding (01/2009) 109.9 Million
Market Capitalization $962.8 Million
Shares Held By Institutions 89.3 Million
Institutional Holders 166
% Shares Held By Institutions 82.30%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) $1.01
P/E Ratio n/a
Book Value Per Share $1.78
 
Gross Margin 54.10%
Annual Dividend 0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Beta 0.65
Fiscal Year Ends January

About TiVo, Inc.

TiVo, Incorporated is considered to operate in the Services sector. They specifically operate in the Cable Television Systems business segment contained within the Media industry.

The Company is a provider of technology and services for digital video recorders.