CMCSA Investment Analysis Report & Stock Research, Comcast Corp.

Comcast Corporation (CMCSA)

CMCSA Stock Report

2-Year Price History

View Larger CMCSA Chart
NASDAQ:CMCSA
$15.64
(2/9 12:31PM)
+2.8%
Open$15.38 Mkt Cap$31.4 Billion
High$15.68 52Wk High$17.88
Low$15.2 52Wk Low$11.10
Volume11.2 Million Avg Vol 10D21.2 Million

Ockham's Rating/Recommendation Summary

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CMCSA Revenue

Cash earnings is the most important factor in our analysis, but it goes without saying that if a company cannot produce sales then there is no ability to generate cash flow. By that logic we look very closely at revenue numbers as our second most important factor in valuing a company's stock. We have established reasonable Price to Sales per share ranges based on historical data of the last 10 years. For, CMCSA the high and low end of the Price to Sales per share ratios are 3.22x and 1.93x respectively.

Notice that CMCSA's current Price to Sales per share ratio is 1.23x, which is quite a bit below what we consider a normal Price to Sales ratio for this stock. Given normal conditions and a price of $15.42, CMCSA is 53% below where we would expect to see it. This will beneficially factor into our final analysis of CMCSA as it is not often that this stock sinks to these levels.

CMCSA Cash Earnings

As the old saying goes, "Cash is King!" We look at reported Cash Earnings, but the main emphasis of our analysis involves stripping out non-cash events such as depreciation from our cash earnings analysis. This helps us view the cash flows more clearly. Nevertheless, an analysis of Cash Earnings (both reported and otherwise) is absolutely pivotal to assessing a company's value, and currently CMCSA is significantly below its historical average multiple of cash earnings as calculated by Ockham. Similar to our analysis of sales per share, Ockham looks at the last 10 years of cash earnings levels for CMCSA to identify where the current high and low price levels have been historically in relation to profit per share. Again, we utilize a weighted average methodology which relies more heavily on recent years of data. This weighted average framework provides us with an average high Price to Cash Earnings ratio per share of 12.33 and a 7.20 low over the same period.

Now that CMCSA’s current price is $15.42 and its Price to Cash Earnings ratio is 4.58, we are very positive on its outlook from the cash earnings perspective. In fact, CMCSA is now trading a full 54% below its average historical Price to Cash Earnings ratio at these profit per share levels. When our clients ask us why CMCSA has great long term potential, the Cash Earnings levels to current stock is one of our primary reasons. But naturally, now we need for the overall market to recognize this disparity.

CMCSA Dividends

A positive Ockham rating does not require a company to pay out an inviting dividend or a dividend at all. However, we believe dividends provide a useful measure of a company's inherent expectations.

Comparable to our analysis of Sales and Cash Earnings per share, we examine dividend yields from CMCSA against the historic high and low levels over an available data range. Because CMCSA has an established history of paying a dividend to shareholders, there is value in comparing recent dividends to historical dividends. In CMCSA’s case, the estimated annual dividend is $0.38 producing a current dividend yield of 2.46%. The highest dividend yield from CMCSA in recent history was 3.42% while the lowest dividend yield was 0.00%. It's hard not to notice that CMCSA pays a current dividend yield that is 43.86% above the historical median. This peaks our interest since our analysis looks favorably upon dividend yields that are greater than the historical median.

Peer Comparison

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Comcast Corp. Industry Grouping

(2/8/2010)
Company Ticker Market Cap (Ml) Latest
Price
Price/Cash Earnings Price/Sales 5-Yr. Rev.
Growth Rate
5-Yr.
Avg. ROE.
Current 10-Yr. Range* Current 10-Yr. Range*
Peer Company Averages (not including CMCSA) 31.21 4.52 » 55.39 1.17 0.53 » 4.83 6.60% 69.27%
*10 year range does not include current year values
Time Warner, Inc. TWX $31.4 Billion $26.92 96.54 1.74 » 110.50 1.22 0.65 » 4.48 4.29% 5.62%
Comcast Corp. CMCSA $31.4 Billion $15.21 4.58 2.96 » 48.13 1.23 0.77 » 6.75 13.30% 4.68%
News Corp. Ltd. NWSA $23.0 Billion $12.64 7.41 5.87 » 24.75 1.12 0.43 » 3.41 8.27% 9.47%
Viacom, Inc. Class B VIAB $15.5 Billion $27.92 13.47 3.93 » 22.24 1.25 0.48 » 3.51 n/a 20.48%
British Sky Broadcasting Group plc BSY $14.2 Billion $32.49 28.37 5.87 » 90.13 1.23 0.88 » 10.26 5.84% 301.03%
WPP PLC - Shares American Deposit Receipt Repr 5 Shs WPPGY $11.1 Billion $44.30 10.28 5.19 » 29.35 1.05 0.21 » 2.51 7.98% 9.76%
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Squawk Box

CMCSA's Dividends Mentioned by Squawk Box

If CMCSA's dividends are important to you, take a look at the news as they were the topic of conversation on Squawk Box.

Premium Content - please sign up for Ockham PREMIUM to gain full access and to see what Squawk Box said about COMCAST CORP.

Learn About RazorWire?
11:30A, Feb. 08,2010 CMCSA $15.38 Comcast Corp.
Deal Breaker

Deal Breaker Has the Latest News on CMCSA

News has broken via the television and viral blogs regarding CMCSA, so investors should take an interest in learning what was said.

As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, CMCSA has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. At Ockham, our stance is currently Greatly Undervalued, which means we believe that value investors will really be interested in this stock at the current price level. The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like CMCSA and believes that it will Underperform.

“… " Presented By: COMCAST Business Class Look at your bill andfind out how much yourbusiness can save with COMCAST Business Class. Internet, Phone & TV for $99. …”

10:27A, Feb. 04,2010 CMCSA $15.62 Comcast Corp.
Squawk On The Street

Talk of CMCSA's CEO Roberts on Squawk On The Street

CEO's are the strategic leaders of their companies, so any mention of them will garner special interest from us.

As for Ockham's rating, we currently have our most bullish stance of Greatly Undervalued on this stock as it is currently trading well below the price we would expect given the fundamentals. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see Comcast Corporation underperforming. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Comcast Corporation has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others.

“… Hearings is under way on capitol hill today and these are for nbc universal president zucker and COMCAST ceo brian roberts as well. There they are sitting side by side. …”

10:26A, Feb. 04,2010 CMCSA $15.62 Comcast Corp.
Fox Business

Fox Business: Speaks to M&A Activity and Comcast Corporation

While we do not know the details relating to CMCSA and any possible deal, our RazorWire news analytics has noticed a mention of the stock near a conversation about M&A activity.

This stock is trading for a price that is well below where we would expect given the fundamental strength, so we have a stance of Greatly Undervalued as of our most recent report. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; CMCSA has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs.

“… COMCAST has been in the television business forever. Why would they put whoever they want in place? > > new management comes in. This is the opportunity -- > > …”

8:42A, Feb. 04,2010 CMCSA $16.02 Comcast Corp.
Squawk Box

Heard on Squawk Box: CEO of CMCSA Discussed

Comcast Corporation's CEO is obviously vital to his company, so we believe any news covering him is worth knowing for investors.

As for Ockham's rating, we currently have our most bullish stance of Greatly Undervalued on this stock as it is currently trading well below the price we would expect given the fundamentals. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Comcast Corporation has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see Comcast Corporation underperforming.

“… Now, COMCAST ceo brian roberts and jeff zucker argue the merger will pave the way for more investment in content development and delivery in a fast changing media world. …”

6:36A, Feb. 04,2010 CMCSA $16.02 Comcast Corp.
Squawk Box

Comcast Corporation Talked About Near M&A Discussion on Squawk Box

News broke today regarding mergers and acquisitions and Comcast Corporation was discussed as well on Squawk Box. Other sources will be required to know exactly what the context was in the discussion.

Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see Comcast Corporation underperforming. As for Ockham's rating, we currently have our most bullish stance of Greatly Undervalued on this stock as it is currently trading well below the price we would expect given the fundamentals. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Comcast Corporation has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others.

“… The head of nbc's 200 affiliates is concerned COMCAST might migrate its best programming for a free over the air distribution to pay cable. …”

6:04P, Feb. 03,2010 CMCSA $16.00 Comcast Corp.
Mad Money

More News Than Normal on CMCSA from Mad Money

CMCSA has been one of the most active stocks in the news today, so investors in it will want to pay attention to what is happening.

When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Comcast Corporation has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see Comcast Corporation underperforming. As for Ockham's rating, we currently have our most bullish stance of Greatly Undervalued on this stock as it is currently trading well below the price we would expect given the fundamentals.

“… Seems like somebody forgot to tell COMCAST, because those numbers were amazing. Verizon's phios is doing just fine bp and so is directv. …”

3:54P, Feb. 03,2010 CMCSA $15.99 Comcast Corp.
Countdown to the Closing Bell

Countdown to the Closing Bell: Speaks to M&A Activity and Comcast Corporation

News broke today regarding mergers and acquisitions and Comcast Corporation was discussed as well on Countdown to the Closing Bell. Other sources will be required to know exactly what the context was in the discussion.

While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; CMCSA has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs. This stock is trading for a price that is well below where we would expect given the fundamental strength, so we have a stance of Greatly Undervalued as of our most recent report.

“… COMCAST moving lower today. Some concern about their margins and acquisition of nbc and time warner again. The only green stalks on the. …”

1:58P, Feb. 03,2010 CMCSA $16.00 Comcast Corp.
Fox Business

Fox Business: CMCSA is Among Most Active Stocks in the News Today

Something important is going on with CMCSA today, as it is getting a lot of attention on business television and influential blogs.

This stock is trading for a price that is well below where we would expect given the fundamental strength, so we have a stance of Greatly Undervalued as of our most recent report. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; CMCSA has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs.

“… david: COMCAST is to be one of the nation's biggest entertainment companies. There is a large hurdle to clear first. > > …”

12:37P, Feb. 03,2010 CMCSA $15.97 Comcast Corp.
Fox Business

Stocks in the News: Comcast Corporation Among the Twenty Most Discussed Stocks

We are observing a lot of attention being paid to CMCSA in the news, so if you hold the stock you may want to take a look at what is going on.

We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; CMCSA has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs. This stock is trading for a price that is well below where we would expect given the fundamental strength, so we have a stance of Greatly Undervalued as of our most recent report. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform.

“… COMCAST another earnings reporter. Ch hshgsh robinson worldwide getting hit because it trailed the industry's profit view. …”

View All Comcast Corp. Stock News

Key Fundamentals

CMCSA - Comcast Corporation Fundamentals
Price (2/9 12:31PM) $15.64
Volume (2/9 12:31PM) 11.2 Million
Last Close Price $15.21
10 Day Average Volume 21.2 Million
13 Week Price Range $14.52 - $17.88
52 Week Price Range $11.10 - $17.88
LTM Revenue $35.8 Billion
 
Shares Outstanding (12/2009) 2.9 Billion
Market Capitalization $31.4 Billion
Shares Held By Institutions 1.7 Billion
Institutional Holders 994
% Shares Held By Institutions 81.30%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) $1.26
P/E Ratio 12.10
Book Value Per Share $14.82
 
Gross Margin 58.20%
Annual Dividend 0.38
Dividend Yield 2.50%
Beta 0.85
Fiscal Year Ends December

About Comcast Corp.

Comcast Corporation is considered to operate in the Services sector. They specifically operate in the Cable Television Systems business segment contained within the Media industry.

The company is a provider of cable services, offering a variety of entertainment, information and communications services to residential and commercial customers.