NYSE:YUM
$32.70
(2/9 12:29PM)
-0.1%
| Open | $32.9 |
Mkt Cap | $15.3 Billion |
| High | $33.09 |
52Wk High | $36.96 |
| Low | $32.49 |
52Wk Low | $23.37 |
| Volume | 3.1 Million |
Avg Vol 10D | 4.6 Million |
Ockham's Rating/Recommendation Summary
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YUM Revenue
For a long time, value investors have used the current share price relative to sales per share levels as an important valuation tool. We utilize a historical weighted average methodology that treats recent years more importantly in the calculation. When looking at YUM through this framework, we can see that our weighted average historical high and low Price to Sales per share ratios over the last 10 years are 1.77x and 1.15x respectively.
Utilizing this range we can see that YUM’s current Price to Sales per share ratio of 1.51x is slightly above its historical average. This level of Price to Sales gives us a fairly neutral position on the shares. We would like to see a drop in the Price to Sales ratio of 3% given current sales figures before we would become more positive on a Price to Sales basis. Such a drop would put Price to Sales per share in line with YUM's weighted historical average.
YUM Cash Earnings
As a value investment framework, Ockham Research is similar to a private equity firm in terms of our valuation methods. We are always on the lookout for value in the form of sales and cash numbers. In the case of YUM, Ockham views their current Cash Earnings as below their historical average multiples of Cash Earnings, as calculated by our proprietary analysis. It is incredibly important to understand that for YUM, the current level of Cash Earnings compared to its historical levels helps identify where YUM is in relation to what the investing community was willing to pay for this level of Cash Earnings in the past. With a historical high Cash Earnings per share ratio of 12.94 and a historical low Cash Earnings per share ratio of 8.44, an investor can relate where value becomes optimal.
So what does a Cash Earnings ratio below the historical norm mean for YUM? Generally, YUM's investors have paid slightly higher stock prices for this level of Cash Earnings, which bodes well as a return to historical norms is statistically likely. However, it is never a guarantee that history gives us proper direction, particularly in fluctuating market cycles. So by utilizing a long term view and incorporating other areas of analysis (like Sales, Dividends, and management analysis), each investor can gain a more complete view of YUM. Remember, that the average Cash Earnings level for YUM has been 10.69, so the current Cash Earnings level of 9.59 is a positive in our view, but by no means is it overwhelming.
YUM Dividends
When determining a company's future prospects for success, Ockham Research sees analysis of dividend payments as a key additional factor. Even though it isn't imperative for YUM to shell out a dividend in order to receive a positive rating, it can be helpful to further our analysis.
The estimated annual dividend for YUM is $0.84 producing a current dividend yield of 2.55%. Much like our evaluation of Sales and Cash Earnings per share, we review dividend yields from YUM against the historic high and low levels over all available dividend history. Because dividends are a decision made exclusively by management, we view a healthy and rising dividend as a sign of confidence and strength. The highest dividend yield from YUM over previous years was 3.59% while the lowest dividend yield was 0.00%. YUM’s current dividend yield is therefore significantly higher than its median dividend yield historically. In fact, the current yield is 42.06% above the median which weighs very positively on our analysis of YUM.
The Latest News for YUM Was Just on Zero Hedge
News has broken via the television and viral blogs regarding YUM, so investors should take an interest in learning what was said.
As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, YUM has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. The Motley Fool CAPS data suggests that investors believe Yum! Brands, Incorporated will beat the market in the foreseeable future. Please be aware that YUM is trading off $2.42 today, and is clearly being affected by the latest news. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on YUM.
“… OIL CORP (MRO)THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC (TMO)PROTECTIVE LIFE CORP (PL)Data provided by Egan-Jones Ratings and …”
A View of YUM's Growth on Imus In The Morning
RazorWire keeps tabs on the important news investors should be aware of; today, YUM growth was the focus on Imus In The Morning.
When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Yum! Brands, Incorporated has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on YUM because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. Crowd sentiment is favorable on this stock, as measured by the Motley Fool CAPS survey.
“… Taco bell and pizza hut seeing 17% sales growth in china and certainly that helps make up for falling sales in the u.S. Earnings coming in at 2 cents above the estimate. And another record for avatar. Avatar is now officially the …”
Earnings News Regarding Yum! Brands, Incorporated Noted on Seeking Alpha Wall St Breakfast
Whenever a reliable source like Seeking Alpha Wall St Breakfast talks about earnings or news on earnings, we think it warrants bringing attention to it.
As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, YUM has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on YUM. The Motley Fool CAPS data suggests that investors believe Yum! Brands, Incorporated will beat the market in the foreseeable future.
“… d 8% in the quarter, 5% for the year: Taco Bell -5%; KFC -8%; Pizza Hut -12%. Shares -1.2% AH. (PR) Today's Markets In Asia, Nikkei -0.5% to 10,356. Hang Seng -1.8% to 20,342. Shanghai …”
Its All About Earnings: Imus In The Morning Talks About YUM
Any suprise in earnings can cause a major swing in stock prices, so we are always on the lookout for the freshest news available for earnings reports or expectations.
We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; YUM has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs. Yum! Brands, Incorporated receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. Crowd sentiment is leaning to the bearish side, according to the robust data set collected by the Motley Fool CAPS survey.
“… Bell and pizza hut and earnings came in at 50 cents a share for the fourth quarter, 2 cents above the estimate and revenue falling slightly at YUM BRANDS, $3. …”
WSJ Marketbeat Looked at Yum! Brands, Incorporated in Extended Trading
Check out the news on YUM because their stock is active in post market trading. This could be because of quarterly earnings or some other breaking news.
When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Yum! Brands, Incorporated has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. Crowd sentiment is favorable on this stock, as measured by the Motley Fool CAPS survey. The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on YUM because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals.
“… costs hurt earnings at its packaging segments sequentially. After the close of trading we can look forward to reports from Monster Worldwide and Yum …”
Slow Month for News Out of YUM But Closing Bell Mentions Them
It's been at least a month since we noticed any major news coverage of YUM, so the story in Closing Bell may get the ball rolling.
Crowd sentiment is favorable on this stock, as measured by the Motley Fool CAPS survey. The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on YUM because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Yum! Brands, Incorporated has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others.
“… YUM BRANDS, the company says it is directing half a million dollars from that program directly into haiti. > > these are people who will never hear of taco bell. …”
Debt a Topic of Conversation for Yum! Brands, Incorporated on Power Lunch
In the aftermath of the credit crisis, debt is a key area investors should understand. A recent news story on Power Lunch talks about YUM's debt load.
Crowd sentiment is favorable on this stock, as measured by the Motley Fool CAPS survey. At present, Ockham has a valuation stance of Undervalued on YUM, as we could see significant price appreciation based on current fundamentals like cash earnings and revenue. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Yum! Brands, Incorporated has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. It is also notable that we have recently upgraded this stock on Saturday, December 05, 2009 because YUM is more attractive in many of the valuation metrics we evaluate.
“… So YUM BRANDS basically is you get earnings visibility and it is a levered play on the same-store sales and the economy in the u. S. …”
Power Lunch: What is Happening with Yum! Brands, Incorporated Now?
Yum! Brands, Incorporated is one of the thousands of companies that Ockham has news analytics on, and it was recently discussed on Power Lunch.
The Motley Fool CAPS data suggests that investors believe Yum! Brands, Incorporated will beat the market in the foreseeable future. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, YUM has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. The improving valuation of Yum! Brands, Incorporated has prompted us to upgrade this stock as of Saturday, December 05, 2009. We consider YUM as Undervalued at the current price of $34.53. According to our methodology, this stock has appreciation potential based on current fundamentals which only improves if earnings or revenue surprise.
“… We like darden, similar kind of story and texas road house and YUM BRANDS. YUM BRANDS gives you a -- go i'm sorry. Good downside protection with earnings visibility. > > …”
YUM's Back in the News After More than a Month on Countdown to the Closing Bell
It's been at least a month since we noticed any major news coverage of YUM, so the story in Countdown to the Closing Bell may get the ball rolling.
Based on our methodology, Yum! Brands, Incorporated should hold some appeal to value investors as we view it as Undervalued. Please have a look at our report for our reasons to upgrade the stock to Undervalued on our report dated Saturday, December 05, 2009. Crowd sentiment is leaning to the bearish side, according to the robust data set collected by the Motley Fool CAPS survey. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; YUM has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs.
“… YUM BRANDS, see if they hold on to the green. Good for the viewers. What is everybody watching robert albertson, who calls by the way this fall in gold of 3% a one-day crash. …”
Yum! Brands, Incorporated (YUM) Discussed on Fox Business's Fox Business
Yum! Brands, Incorporated is in the news. Find out how this impacts YUM trading on Ockham Research.
Casual dining stocks, because those are these names that got buy ratings today over at janney capital market and buy for burger king and YUM! BRANDS. K.F.C. And taco bell and up arrows, last but not least, take a look at rail companies and that's because after yesterday we had berkshire hathaway buying the remainder of burlington northern today. J.P. Morgan is suggesting a swap, swap out of burlington
“… after yesterday we had berkshire hathaway buying the remainder of burlington northern today. J.P. Morgan is suggesting a swap, swap out of burlington …”