CAR Investment Analysis Report & Stock Research, Avis Budget Group, Inc.

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Avis Budget Group, Incorporated (CAR)

CAR Stock Report

2-Year Price History

Recent Price
(7/2 4:20PM) -2.6%
$5.70
52-Week Price
$0.34 - $12.50
Market Capitalization
$580.1 Million
Dividend Yield
0.00%
Most Recent Dividend
$0.00

Ockham's Rating

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CAR Revenue

For a long time, value investors have used the current share price relative to sales per share levels as an important valuation tool. We utilize a historical weighted average methodology that treats recent years more importantly in the calculation. When looking at CAR through this framework, we can see that our weighted average historical high and low Price to Sales per share ratios over the last 10 years are 0.34x and 0.15x respectively.

Utilizing this range we can see that CAR’s current Price to Sales per share ratio of 0.09x is significantly below its average levels historically. In fact, with a current price of $5.70, CAR is a full 63% below its average Price to Sales ratio at comparable sales levels. This is a rare occurrence and, when taken in context of the other areas of our analysis, can be a strong positive for our outlook for CAR.

CAR Cash Earnings

As the old saying goes, "Cash is King!" However, we prefer to capture a few other items within our analysis to identify "cash earnings". Nevertheless, an analysis of Cash Earnings is absolutely pivotal to assessing a company's value, and currently CAR is significantly below their historical average multiples of Cash Earnings, as calculated by our proprietary analysis. It is incredibly important to understand that for CAR, the current level of Cash Earnings compared to its historical levels helps identify where CAR is in relation to what the investing community was willing to pay for this level of Cash Earnings in the past. With a historical high Cash Earnings per share ratio of 2.12 and a historical low Cash Earnings per share ratio of 0.73, an investor can relate where value becomes optimal.

So what does "significantly below" mean when we talk about Price to Cash Earnings numbers for CAR? From the Ockham perspective, we are looking specifically at CAR to see if the market is recognizing the huge disparity between CAR's past stock price to Cash Earnings ratio to today's levels. At a difference of 25% below the average historical Price to Cash Earnings ratio, our view would be quite positive at this point. However, as with all metrics, we need to also take other factors into account when looking at CAR. While we view better Cash Earnings metrics as very important, if the market is slow to identify this value, or if Cash Earnings were to fall from these levels, we would become more neutral in our stance.

CAR Dividends

A positive Ockham rating does not require a company to pay out an inviting dividend or a dividend at all. However, we believe dividends provide a useful measure of a company's inherent expectations.

Peer Comparison

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Avis Budget Group, Inc. Industry Grouping

(7/2/2009)
Company Ticker Market Cap (Ml) Latest
Price
Price/Cash Earnings Price/Sales 5-Yr. Rev.
Growth Rate
5-Yr.
Avg. ROE.
Current 10-Yr. Range* Current 10-Yr. Range*
Peer Company Averages (not incuding CAR) 9.84 4.20 » 27.35 1.40 0.61 » 4.58 16.17% 20.25%
*10 year range does not include current year values
SAVVIS, Inc. SVVS $601.2 Million $11.08 4.43 1.96 » 24.38 0.61 0.08 » 14.09 27.65% 33.17%
Administaff, Inc. ASF $584.2 Million $22.95 10.29 3.11 » 44.38 0.32 0.07 » 1.18 14.10% 19.58%
Avis Budget Group, Inc. CAR $580.1 Million $5.70 1.08 0.06 » 4.46 0.09 0.01 » 0.77 -19.94% 2.96%
K12, Inc. LRN $568.5 Million $19.65 13.08 7.11 » 27.95 0.00 0.00 » 0.00 n/a 7.49%
Aircastle Limited AYR $565.7 Million $7.14 1.79 0.68 » 15.61 0.00 0.00 » 0.00 n/a 5.66%
Landauer, Inc. LDR $559.5 Million $59.85 19.62 8.16 » 24.43 6.09 2.89 » 7.64 6.77% 35.34%
>
Ockham Ratings & Analysis Report
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The latest TV Media Discussion

9:43:18 AM CAR $4.93 Avis Budget Group, Inc.
RAZORWIRE
The Opening Bell on Fox Business
17 days ago (06/16)
“…Kohl's shares are trading lower and the company announced a public offering 12 million shares of common stock and said it intend to use the cash to repay an outstanding balance on revolving credit facility. And AVIS BUDGET group, shares are in the green. The company said it expects to reap big berths from the cost cuts and that automotive bankruptcies are likely to have a minimal effect on operations. …” …more details…
3:57:08 PM CAR $4.93 Avis Budget Group, Inc.
RAZORWIRE
Countdown to the Closing Bell
5/27/2009 3:57 PM
“…Number three, secquenom, stock up almost 13%. >> number two, AVIS BUDGET god the exclusive deal to be air canada's worldwide car rental supplier. …” …more details…
View All Avis Budget Group, Inc. News

Key Fundamentals

CAR - Avis Budget Group, Incorporated Fundamentals
Price (7/2 4:20PM) $5.70
Volume (7/2 4:20PM) 1.5 Million
Last Close Price $5.85
10 Day Average Volume 3.6 Million
13 Week Price Range $0.76 - $6.08
52 Week Price Range $0.34 - $12.50
LTM Revenue $5.7 Billion
 
Shares Outstanding (12/2008) 101.8 Million
Market Capitalization $580.1 Million
Shares Held By Institutions 59.5 Million
Institutional Holders 165
% Shares Held By Institutions 58.50%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) ($11.04)
P/E Ratio n/a
Book Value Per Share $0.43
 
Gross Margin 46.40%
Annual Dividend 0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Beta 5.28
Fiscal Year Ends December

About Avis Budget Group, Inc.

Avis Budget Group, Incorporated is considered to operate in the Services sector. They specifically operate in the Rental & Leasing Services business segment contained within the Diversified Services industry.

The Company provides car and truck rentals and ancillary services to businesses and consumers in the United States and internationally.

Market Direction
NASDAQ 1796.52

-49.2  -2.67%
Market Direction
S&P 500 896.42

-26.91  -2.91%
Market Direction
^DIA 82.99

-2.04  -2.4%