WY Fundamental Research Investment Analysis, Weyerhaeuser Company

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Weyerhaeuser Company (WY)

The Razor's Edge

2-Year Price History

Recent Price
(12/3/2008)
$36.19
52-Week Price
$28.68 - $73.75
Market Capitalization
$7.6 Billion
Dividend Yield
6.60%
Most Recent Dividend
$2.40

About Weyerhaeuser Company

Weyerhaeuser Company is considered to operate in the Industrial Goods sector. They specifically operate in the Lumber, Wood Production business segment contained within the Materials & Construction industry.

The Company is engaged in the growing and harvesting of timber; the manufacture, distribution and sale of forest products; and real estate development and construction.

Ockham's Rating

Rating Specific Information Withheld Premium Access Only

WY Revenue

For a long time, value investors have used the current share price relative to sales per share levels as an important valuation tool. We utilize a historical weighted average methodology that treats recent years more importantly in the calculation. When looking at WY through this framework, we can see that our weighted average historical high and low Price to Sales per share ratios over the last 10 years are 0.95x and 0.59x respectively.

Utilizing this range we can see that WY’s current Price to Sales per share ratio of 0.62x is significantly below its average levels historically. In fact, with a current price of $37.62, WY is a full 20% below its average Price to Sales ratio at comparable sales levels. This is a rare occurrence and, when taken in context of the other areas of our analysis, can be a strong positive for our outlook for WY.

WY Cash Earnings

As a value investment framework, Ockham Research is similar to a private equity firm in terms of our valuation methods. We are always on the lookout for value in the form of sales and cash numbers. In the case of WY, Ockham views their current Cash Earnings as significantly below its historical average multiple of cash earnings as calculated by Ockham. Similar to our analysis of sales per share, Ockham looks at the last 10 years of cash earnings levels for WY to identify where the current high and low price levels have been historically in relation to profit per share. Again, we utilize a weighted average methodology which relies more heavily on recent years of data. This weighted average framework provides us with an average high Price to Cash Earnings ratio per share of 12.52 and a 7.15 low over the same period.

Now that WY’s current price is $37.62 and its Price to Cash Earnings ratio is 8.07, we are very positive on its outlook from the cash earnings perspective. In fact, WY is now trading a full 18% below its average historical Price to Cash Earnings ratio at these profit per share levels. When our clients ask us why WY has great long term potential, the Cash Earnings levels to current stock is one of our primary reasons. But naturally, now we need for the overall market to recognize this disparity.

WY Dividends

While it is not necessary to pay an attractive dividend or a dividend at all, to receive a positive rating from Ockham, we view dividends as an additionally helpful measure in determining the future potential of any company.

In WY’s case, the estimated annual dividend is $2.40 resulting in a current dividend yield of 6.38%. Similar to our review of Sales and Cash Earnings per share, we evaluate dividend yields from WY against the historic high and low levels over the past 10 years. The highest dividend yield from WY over this period was 8.37% while the lowest dividend yield was 2.15% It's hard not to notice that WY pays a current dividend yield that is 21.29% above the historical median. This peaks our interest since our analysis is looks favorably upon dividend yields that are greater than the historical median.

Peer Comparison

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Weyerhaeuser Company Industry Grouping

(12/3/2008)
Company Ticker Market Cap (Ml) Latest
Price
Price/Cash Earnings Price/Sales 5-Yr. Rev.
Growth Rate
5-Yr.
Avg. ROE.
Current 10-Yr. Range* Current 10-Yr. Range*
Peer Company Averages (not incuding WY) 11.83 6.26 » 33.55 1.66 1.00 » 13.34 15.55% 16.90%
*10 year range does not include current year values
Fluor Corp. FLR $8.1 Billion $44.65 9.59 3.65 » 64.68 0.16 0.16 » 2.83 10.88% 16.40%
Weyerhaeuser Company WY $7.6 Billion $36.19 8.07 4.66 » 25.41 0.62 0.50 » 4.73 -2.51% 8.08%
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $7.0 Billion $63.59 7.91 5.74 » 19.26 1.54 1.48 » 13.56 3.54% 15.98%
Cemex SAB de CV ADS CX $5.2 Billion $6.72 2.06 1.27 » 10.29 0.21 0.84 » 6.98 27.08% 16.56%
Fastenal Company FAST $5.0 Billion $33.42 16.11 14.53 » 36.93 2.11 1.81 » 19.21 17.89% 19.92%
Stericycle, Inc. SRCL $4.6 Billion $53.19 23.48 6.13 » 36.59 4.29 0.71 » 24.09 18.36% 15.64%
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Key Fundamentals

WY - Weyerhaeuser Company Fundamentals
Price (12/3/2008) $36.19
Volume (12/3/2008) 2.0 Million
10 Day Average Volume 2.2 Million
13 Week Price Range $28.68 - $65.50
52 Week Price Range $28.68 - $73.75
LTM Revenue $10.3 Billion
 
Shares Outstanding (12/2007) 211.3 Million
Market Capitalization $7.6 Billion
Shares Held By Institutions 182.5 Million
Insitutional Holders 593
% Shares Held By Institutions 86.40%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) $3.59
P/E Ratio n/a
Book Value Per Share $35.99
 
Gross Margin 17.60%
Quarterly Dividend 2.40
Dividend Yield 6.60%
Beta 1.34
Fiscal Year Ends December