AMTD Investment Analysis Report & Stock Research, TD Ameritrade Holding Corp.

TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation (AMTD)

AMTD Stock Report

2-Year Price History

View Larger AMTD Chart
NASDAQ:AMTD
$16.70
(2/9 2:31PM)
-0.5%
Open$16.85 Mkt Cap$9.9 Billion
High$17.02 52Wk High$21.30
Low$16.59 52Wk Low$10.09
Volume6.5 Million Avg Vol 10D9.5 Million

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AMTD Revenue

Cash earnings is the most important factor in our analysis, but it goes without saying that if a company cannot produce sales then there is no ability to generate cash flow. By that logic we look very closely at revenue numbers as our second most important factor in valuing a company's stock. We have established reasonable Price to Sales per share ranges based on historical data of the last 10 years. For, AMTD the high and low end of the Price to Sales per share ratios are 6.47x and 3.23x respectively.

Notice that AMTD's current Price to Sales per share ratio is 4.11x, which is significantly below its average levels historically. In fact, with a current price of $16.96, AMTD is a full 16% below its average Price to Sales ratio at comparable sales levels. This is a rare occurrence and, when taken in context of the other areas of our analysis, can be a strong positive for our outlook for AMTD.

AMTD Cash Earnings

As the old saying goes, "Cash is King!" We look at reported Cash Earnings, but the main emphasis of our analysis involves stripping out non-cash events such as depreciation from our cash earnings analysis. This helps us view the cash flows more clearly. Nevertheless, an analysis of Cash Earnings (both reported and otherwise) is absolutely pivotal to assessing a company's value, and currently AMTD is below its historical average multiple of Cash Earnings. Looking at the last 8 years we can get a good understanding of what investors have grown to expect from AMTD. For example, AMTD's Cash Earnings ratio per share has fluctuated between 12.29 and 23.73 over this historical timeframe. This range is based upon a proprietary weighted methodology at Ockham, but can clearly show an investor where AMTD is with respect to prior business periods.

So what does a Cash Earnings ratio below the historical norm mean for AMTD? Generally, AMTD's investors have paid slightly higher stock prices for this level of Cash Earnings, which bodes well as a return to historical norms is statistically likely. However, it is never a guarantee that history gives us proper direction, particularly in fluctuating market cycles. So by utilizing a long term view and incorporating other areas of analysis (like Sales, Dividends, and management analysis), each investor can gain a more complete view of AMTD. Remember, that the average Cash Earnings level for AMTD has been 18.01, so the current Cash Earnings level of 15.42 is a positive in our view, but by no means is it overwhelming.

AMTD Dividends

When determining a company's future prospects for success, Ockham Research sees analysis of dividend payments as a key additional factor. Even though it isn't imperative for AMTD to shell out a dividend in order to receive a positive rating, it can be helpful to further our analysis. AMTD may pay a dividend at this time; however, there is an insufficient amount of history to incorporate it into our analysis. Therefore, we are not utilizing the dividends or lack thereof in our study. As AMTD more consistent dividend history is made available, we will begin to factor this into the Ockham approach.

Peer Comparison

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TD Ameritrade Holding Corp. Industry Grouping

(2/8/2010)
Company Ticker Market Cap (Ml) Latest
Price
Price/Cash Earnings Price/Sales 5-Yr. Rev.
Growth Rate
5-Yr.
Avg. ROE.
Current 10-Yr. Range* Current 10-Yr. Range*
Peer Company Averages (not including AMTD) 48.07 10.05 » 77.49 3.67 1.10 » 6.63 25.05% 13.88%
*10 year range does not include current year values
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. TROW $12.5 Billion $48.13 41.42 12.67 » 47.02 6.83 2.02 » 8.72 15.63% 21.34%
Brookfield Asset Management, Inc. BAM $11.9 Billion $20.89 6.86 3.63 » 50.27 1.38 0.57 » 5.93 25.75% 20.66%
BlackRock, Inc. BLK $10.4 Billion $204.66 43.14 14.11 » 58.26 5.91 1.60 » 8.68 48.94% 12.42%
TD Ameritrade Holding Corp. AMTD $9.9 Billion $16.78 15.42 8.50 » 41.40 4.11 1.41 » 7.88 21.30% 25.68%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc. AMP $9.5 Billion $37.23 102.51 13.87 » 108.11 1.22 0.36 » 1.82 n/a 7.76%
Invesco Limited IVZ $7.9 Billion $18.32 46.45 5.96 » 123.79 3.03 0.96 » 7.98 9.88% 7.20%
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Squawk On The Street

Focus on Costs: AMTD on Squawk On The Street

AMTD costs were discussed on Squawk On The Street, and may be of interest to investors.

Premium Content - please sign up for Ockham PREMIUM to gain full access and to see what Squawk On The Street said about TD AMERITRADE HOLDING CORP.

Learn About RazorWire?
Street Signs

Can AMTD Keep Costs In-Line? See Street Signs's Take

AMTD costs were discussed on Street Signs, and may be of interest to investors.

TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. The Motley Fool CAPS crowd believes this stock will perform generally in line with the benchmark, or in other words the crowd is neutral. Ranking all stocks in terms of news coverage offers some interesting data. In the case of AMTD, it is getting significantly more attention in recent news coverage than we are used to seeing.

“… At TD AMERITRADE. Announcer: before investing, consider the fund's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Contact TD AMERITRADE for a prospectus containg this and ... …”

Squawk On The Street

Can AMTD Keep Costs In-Line? See Squawk On The Street's Take

Keeping costs in check is a primary responsibility of corporate managers; Squawk On The Street discussed AMTD's costs recently.

TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. Ranking all stocks in terms of news coverage offers some interesting data. In the case of AMTD, it is getting significantly more attention in recent news coverage than we are used to seeing. The Motley Fool CAPS crowd believes this stock will perform generally in line with the benchmark, or in other words the crowd is neutral.

“… At TD AMERITRADE. Announcer: before investing, consider the fund's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Contact TD AMERITRADE. …”

Fast Money

Can AMTD Keep Costs In-Line? See Fast Money's Take

Keeping costs in check is a primary responsibility of corporate managers; Fast Money discussed AMTD's costs recently.

In comparison to the other stocks that we follow, TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation has seen more discussion in relation to its normal ranking among the group. Be aware that the news sources we track are focusing on this stock more often these days. The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on AMTD because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. Our sentiment indicator, provided through the Motley Fool CAPS survey, suggests that investors are neutral overall towards AMTD and think that it will generally perform in-line with the S&P 500.

“… At TD AMERITRADE. Announcer: before investing, consider the fund's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Contact TD AMERITRADE for a prospectus containg this and ... …”

Mad Money

Notice a Discussion Covering AMTD Appeared Recently in the Financial News

As always, the latest news on AMTD is available to Ockham clients through RazorWire, and it was mentioned recently on Mad Money.

In comparison to the other stocks that we follow, TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation has seen more discussion in relation to its normal ranking among the group. Be aware that the news sources we track are focusing on this stock more often these days. The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on AMTD because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. Our sentiment indicator, provided through the Motley Fool CAPS survey, suggests that investors are neutral overall towards AMTD and think that it will generally perform in-line with the S&P 500.

“… Sponsored by TD AMERITRADE. >> I watch him every day. >> they know nothing. >> are you ready, skee-daddy? >> i'm a tried and true crameri cramericaen. Buy the bobble head at cnbcstore.Com. Why should I have to pay for something that I shouldn't …”

Power Lunch

Notice a Discussion Covering AMTD Appeared Recently in the Financial News

The latest news from Power Lunch on AMTD is available through Ockham's news analytics platform RazorWire.

Our sentiment indicator, provided through the Motley Fool CAPS survey, suggests that investors are neutral overall towards AMTD and think that it will generally perform in-line with the S&P 500. In comparison to the other stocks that we follow, TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation has seen more discussion in relation to its normal ranking among the group. Be aware that the news sources we track are focusing on this stock more often these days. The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on AMTD because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals.

“… Joe can han at TD AMERITRADE. Let me cut to the simplest question of all. The market's good or the market's bad? > > I would say market overall good. > > …”

Mad Money

Stay Current on AMTD's News on Mad Money

The latest news on Mad Money in regards to AMTD came through on RazorWire recently.

As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, AMTD has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on AMTD. Crowd sentiment is neutral from the millions of opinions submitted through Motley Fool CAPS, which suggests most investors on their platform believe TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation will perform just about the same as the index.

“… gadget... It's called the telephone. I can call TD AMERITRADE anytime and talk trades, strategy... Anything. TD AMERITRADE. …”

Mad Money

See Why TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation News Was Discussed on Mad Money

The latest news from business television and influential blogs is always available through Ockham's RazorWire, and this news is in relation to TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation.

Crowd sentiment is neutral from the millions of opinions submitted through Motley Fool CAPS, which suggests most investors on their platform believe TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation will perform just about the same as the index. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, AMTD has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on AMTD.

“… Sponsored by TD AMERITRADE. >>> now, thanks to multi-tasking, when you have that procedure on your elbow, you're not able to do that. Look, you know, I have to support my hands up here. The bottom line -- not easy. >> boo-yah, jim, from point …”

Squawk On The Street

AMTD Gets Mentioned in the Financial Media

News has broken via the television and viral blogs regarding AMTD, so investors should take an interest in learning what was said.

Crowd sentiment is neutral from the millions of opinions submitted through Motley Fool CAPS, which suggests most investors on their platform believe TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation will perform just about the same as the index. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on AMTD. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, AMTD has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks.

“… TD AMERITRADE downgraded -- markets near session lows ahead of another speech from president obama, the dow down 135 right now. > > all right. …”

Squawk On The Street

Can AMTD Keep Costs In-Line? See Squawk On The Street's Take

AMTD costs were discussed on Squawk On The Street, and may be of interest to investors.

The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on AMTD because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. Our sentiment indicator, provided through the Motley Fool CAPS survey, suggests that investors are neutral overall towards AMTD and think that it will generally perform in-line with the S&P 500. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others.

“… At TD AMERITRADE. Announcer: before investing, consider the fund's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Contact TD AMERITRADE for a prospectus containg this and ... …”

View All TD Ameritrade Holding Corp. Stock News

Key Fundamentals

AMTD - TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation Fundamentals
Price (2/9 2:31PM) $16.70
Volume (2/9 2:31PM) 6.5 Million
Last Close Price $16.78
10 Day Average Volume 9.5 Million
13 Week Price Range $16.55 - $21.30
52 Week Price Range $10.09 - $21.30
LTM Revenue $2.4 Billion
 
Shares Outstanding (09/2009) 589.5 Million
Market Capitalization $9.9 Billion
Shares Held By Institutions 199.3 Million
Institutional Holders 399
% Shares Held By Institutions 34%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) $1.10
P/E Ratio 16.30
Book Value Per Share $6.02
 
Gross Margin n/a%
Annual Dividend 0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Beta 1.24
Fiscal Year Ends September

About TD Ameritrade Holding Corp.

TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation is considered to operate in the Financial sector. They specifically operate in the Investmnt Brokerage-National business segment contained within the Financial Services industry.

The Company provides securities brokerage services, including trade execution, clearing services and margin lending, through its broker-dealer subsidiaries.