KEY Investment Analysis Report & Stock Research, KeyCorp

KeyCorp (KEY)

KEY Stock Report

2-Year Price History

View Larger KEY Chart
NYSE:KEY
$7.60
(3/19 4:00PM)
+0.5%
Open$7.58 Mkt Cap$6.7 Billion
High$7.67 52Wk High$17.30
Low$7.47 52Wk Low$4.40
Volume15.2 Million Avg Vol 10D18.6 Million

Ockham's Rating/Recommendation Summary

Rating specific information requires Premium Access.
Buy Now or Learn More about Ockham's Features and Services

KEY Revenue

Cash earnings is the most important factor in our analysis, but it goes without saying that if a company cannot produce sales then there is no ability to generate cash flow. By that logic we look very closely at revenue numbers as our second most important factor in valuing a company's stock. We have established reasonable Price to Sales per share ranges based on historical data of the last 10 years. For, KEY the high and low end of the Price to Sales per share ratios are 2.49x and 1.33x respectively.

Notice that KEY's current Price to Sales per share ratio is 1.14x, which is quite a bit below what we consider a normal Price to Sales ratio for this stock. Given normal conditions and a price of $7.60, KEY is 41% below where we would expect to see it. This will beneficially factor into our final analysis of KEY as it is not often that this stock sinks to these levels.

KEY Cash Earnings

Price to Cash Earnings analysis is inappropriate for this company due to anticipated negative cash flows for this year. A negative cash flow presents many complications when comparing the company's current value to historically normal valuations. Clearly, when a company fails to earn a profit, it should be a concern for investors. As such, we have taken a negative view on KEY from a cash perspective. We should point out that this metric is a significant element in Ockham’s methodology for analyzing the outlook for any company. Many young companies have come through difficult times like this before; these companies have an opportunity to grow revenue appropriately to bring them around to profitablity. However, for mature company's with a history of positive cash flow this can be much more distressing. Therefore, for KEY, our overall valutaion is now more dependent on the Price to Sales analysis, and investors should be cautious with a company with very limited, if any, positive cash earnings.

KEY Dividends

A positive Ockham rating does not require a company to pay out an inviting dividend or a dividend at all. However, we believe dividends provide a useful measure of a company's inherent expectations.

Comparable to our analysis of Sales and Cash Earnings per share, we examine dividend yields from KEY against the historic high and low levels over an available data range. Because KEY has an established history of paying a dividend to shareholders, there is value in comparing recent dividends to historical dividends. In KEY’s case, the estimated annual dividend is $0.04 producing a current dividend yield of 0.53%. The highest dividend yield from KEY in recent history was 20.04% while the lowest dividend yield was 0.23%. With that range in mind, KEY’s current dividend yield is a full 94.77% below its median dividend yield historically. This is a negative from our perspective.

Peer Comparison

:

KeyCorp Industry Grouping

(3/19/2010)
Company Ticker Market Cap (Ml) Latest
Price
Price/Cash Earnings Price/Sales 5-Yr. Rev.
Growth Rate
5-Yr.
Avg. ROE.
Current 10-Yr. Range* Current 10-Yr. Range*
Peer Company Averages (not including KEY) 79.43 6.84 » 99.48 2.22 0.84 » 5.53 11.41% 12.66%
*10 year range does not include current year values
Hudson City Bancorp, Inc. HCBK $7.3 Billion $13.84 13.84 7.49 » 35.31 2.45 1.33 » 9.03 26.14% 7.30%
New York Community Bancorp, Inc. NYB $7.1 Billion $16.37 17.79 8.35 » 95.70 3.75 1.76 » 8.36 10.86% 6.20%
Credicorp LTD BAP $6.8 Billion $85.57 27.25 7.10 » 25.50 3.19 0.45 » 4.02 17.53% 17.38%
KeyCorp KEY $6.7 Billion $7.60 -1.00 8.87 » 82.28 1.14 0.38 » 2.61 0.94% 8.01%
Comerica, Inc. CMA $5.8 Billion $38.14 346.73 8.63 » 293.64 1.83 0.56 » 3.51 0.39% 10.44%
Lloyds Banking Group PLC - Shs Sponsored American Deposit Receipt Repr 4 Shs LYG $5.6 Billion $3.72 4.54 2.63 » 47.25 0.14 0.12 » 2.75 2.11% 22.00%
Ockham Coverflow

Sharpen Your Investing

  • Access to over 5,000 stock reports
  • Portfolio Analytics and Tracking
  • Business Television Tracking
  • CNBC and Fox Business Show Recaps
Get Started
The Latest Financial News
The most recent Stocks on Financial TV & Blogs from impactful financial news sources
11:52A, Mar. 17,2010 KEY $7.70 KeyCorp
WSJ Marketbeat

WSJ Marketbeat Discussed the Latest Development of KeyCorp

The latest news on WSJ Marketbeat in regards to KEY came through on RazorWire recently.

The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like KEY and believes that it will Underperform. At Ockham, we are not advising buying KeyCorp at the current price level because according to our methodology it is not supported by the fundamentals. When looking at our entire coverage universe and ranking stocks by the attention they receive on RazorWire, it is clear that KeyCorp has been talked about more than normal recently.

“… two financials — expected to be most affected by the imposition of the Volcker rule — are getting outpaced by gains in regionals such as Zion, KEYCORP, Marshall & Ilsley, SunTrust ... …”

1:33P, Mar. 16,2010 KEY $7.55 KeyCorp
Bloomberg News

Holding KEY Stock? See What Is Being Discussed on Bloomberg News

News has broken via the television and viral blogs regarding KEY, so investors should take an interest in learning what was said.

At the current price, value investors will want to look elsewhere for a buying opportunity as this stock has heated up and is currently Overvalued. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; KEY has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs. While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform.

“… It went up most significantly at fifth third, first horizon, and KEYCORP. KEYCORP has not returned our call yet. Fifth third says a big part of their salary meant deferred pay ... …”

1:33P, Mar. 16,2010 KEY $7.55 KeyCorp
Fox Business

Check Out Fox Business and News on KEY

The latest news from business television and influential blogs is always available through Ockham's RazorWire, and this news is in relation to KeyCorp.

While bearish sentiment on a stock is not always a bad thing, it is something you need to be aware of. The Motley Fool survey of crowd sentiment shows that many investors believe this stock will underperform. At the current price, value investors will want to look elsewhere for a buying opportunity as this stock has heated up and is currently Overvalued. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; KEY has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs.

“… It went up most significantly at fifth third, first horizon, and KEYCORP. KEYCORP has not returned our call yet. Fifth third says a big part of their salary meant deferred pay ... …”

12:47P, Mar. 16,2010 KEY $7.64 KeyCorp
Bloomberg News

Bloomberg News Brings News Related to KeyCorp

KeyCorp is one of the thousands of companies that Ockham has news analytics on, and it was recently discussed on Bloomberg News.

As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, KEY has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like KEY and believes that it will Underperform. At Ockham, we are not advising buying KeyCorp at the current price level because according to our methodology it is not supported by the fundamentals.

“… They will get paid based on how the stock goes in the long term, but if you look at a salary portions, they went up most significantly at fifth third and KEYCORP and first ... …”

12:47P, Mar. 16,2010 KEY $7.64 KeyCorp
Fox Business

KEY News Mentioned on Fox Business Recently

Staying informed on the news is invaluable for investors, and RazorWire has captured a recently discussion on KEY from Fox Business.

As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, KEY has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like KEY and believes that it will Underperform. At Ockham, we are not advising buying KeyCorp at the current price level because according to our methodology it is not supported by the fundamentals.

“… They will get paid based on how the stock goes in the long term, but if you look at a salary portions, they went up most significantly at fifth third and KEYCORP and first ... …”

12:49P, Mar. 12,2010 KEY $7.62 KeyCorp
Power Lunch

Power Lunch Brings News Related to KeyCorp

KeyCorp is one of the thousands of companies that Ockham has news analytics on, and it was recently discussed on Power Lunch.

Take notice of the news on this stock because it is up $0.37 since the close of trading yesterday. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see KeyCorp underperforming. As of this week's report, we have an Overvalued valuation on KEY because the price has gotten too high to be justified by the fundamentals. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, KeyCorp has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others.

“… Most specifically, big money trades in regional bank KEYCORP this morning. It is only 1:00 eastern time, just about and already the stock has attracted a full day's average ... …”

4:18P, Mar. 10,2010 KEY $7.56 KeyCorp
Closing Bell

Closing Bell Discussed the Latest Development of KeyCorp

The latest news from business television and influential blogs is always available through Ockham's RazorWire, and this news is in relation to KeyCorp.

As of this week's report, we have an Overvalued valuation on KEY because the price has gotten too high to be justified by the fundamentals. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see KeyCorp underperforming. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, KeyCorp has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others.

“… buying KEYCORP and pnc financial. > > gentlemen, appreciate it. > > > coming up on the "closing bell," is the dollar poised for a near-term bull run? …”

4:16P, Mar. 10,2010 KEY $7.56 KeyCorp
Closing Bell

Merger Talk with KEY on Closing Bell

While we do not know the details relating to KEY and any possible deal, our RazorWire news analytics has noticed a mention of the stock near a conversation about M&A activity.

When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, KeyCorp has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see KeyCorp underperforming. As of this week's report, we have an Overvalued valuation on KEY because the price has gotten too high to be justified by the fundamentals.

“… Could barclaysby a KEY CORP or a suntrust I think that could certainly be the case. But in the near term we think that's a little premature but within 12 months yes we do see ... …”

1:08P, Mar. 10,2010 KEY $7.52 KeyCorp
Bloomberg News

KEY's Dividends Mentioned by Bloomberg News

If KEY's dividends are important to you, take a look at the news as they were the topic of conversation on Bloomberg News.

When looking at our entire coverage universe and ranking stocks by the attention they receive on RazorWire, it is clear that KeyCorp has been talked about more than normal recently. At Ockham, we are not advising buying KeyCorp at the current price level because according to our methodology it is not supported by the fundamentals. The crowd at The Motley Fool does not like KEY and believes that it will Underperform.

“… One was recommending to by the court -- to buy KEYCORP. We are hearing from zions that they are stabilizing or improving. As we talk about the steep yield curve. …”

11:59A, Mar. 10,2010 KEY $7.58 KeyCorp
WSJ Marketbeat

WSJ Marketbeat Has News on KEY

The latest news from business television and influential blogs is always available through Ockham's RazorWire, and this news is in relation to KeyCorp.

Interestingly, overall sentiment looks bearish according to the Motley Fool's CAPS survey, as most of their users see KeyCorp underperforming. In comparison to the other stocks that we follow, KeyCorp has seen more discussion in relation to its normal ranking among the group. Be aware that the news sources we track are focusing on this stock more often these days. As of this week's report, we have an Overvalued valuation on KEY because the price has gotten too high to be justified by the fundamentals.

“… , KEYCORP and Fifth Third Bancorp were all up as well, as M&I rose 4. 7% to $7. 80, KEYCORP rose 3. 9% from $7. 55 and Fifth Third gained 3. 4% to $13. 05. …”

View All KeyCorp Stock News

Key Fundamentals

KEY - KeyCorp Fundamentals
Price (3/19 4:00PM) $7.60
Volume (3/19 4:00PM) 15.2 Million
Last Close Price $7.56
10 Day Average Volume 18.6 Million
13 Week Price Range $5.55 - $8.19
52 Week Price Range $4.40 - $17.30
LTM Revenue $5.8 Billion
 
Shares Outstanding (12/2009) 878.1 Million
Market Capitalization $6.7 Billion
Shares Held By Institutions 574.0 Million
Institutional Holders 543
% Shares Held By Institutions 65.30%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) ($2.34)
P/E Ratio n/a
Book Value Per Share $9.04
 
Gross Margin n/a%
Annual Dividend 0.04
Dividend Yield 0.50%
Beta 0.48
Fiscal Year Ends December

About KeyCorp

KeyCorp is considered to operate in the Financial sector. They specifically operate in the Money Center Banks business segment contained within the Banking industry.

A financial holding company, which through its subsidiaries, provides retail and commercial banking, commercial leasing, investment management, consumer finance and investment banking products and services to individual, corporate & institutional clients.