TSO Investment Analysis Report & Stock Research, Tesoro Corp.

Tesoro Corporation (TSO)

TSO Stock Report

2-Year Price History

View Larger TSO Chart
NYSE:TSO
$14.15
(3/18 4:00PM)
-0.5%
Open$14.47 Mkt Cap$2.0 Billion
High$14.6 52Wk High$18.77
Low$14.04 52Wk Low$10.62
Volume6.3 Million Avg Vol 10D6.3 Million

Ockham's Rating/Recommendation Summary

Rating specific information requires Premium Access.
Buy Now or Learn More about Ockham's Features and Services.

TSO Revenue

As a value investing shop, we are interested in seeing how TSO's revenues measure up against past performances. One easily understandable way of doing that is to compare Price to Sales per share levels over a given time frame. Assuming it is available, Ockham prefers to look at ten years of history (for this stock there are 10 years of history available) and we weigh recent years more heavily. This allows us to find weighted average historical high and low Price to Sales ratios, which give us a better idea of the stock's current underlying value. Using this method, we have established a high range for Price to Sales of 0.26x and the low end of the range at 0.11x.

With respect to these historically rational metrics, notice that the current Price to Sales per share ratio for TSO of 0.11x is well below its normal historic Price to Sales levels. At a price of $13.77, TSO is 39% below where we would expect to see it. Clearly, this stock looks undervalued compared to historical levels, at least on a Price to Sales basis. This will positively affect our analysis because it is rare to find a stock this far below historical norms, and we would expect some price appreciation to bring this metric back towards a more normal range.

TSO Cash Earnings

Cash Earnings is always one of the most important factors to review for a company and, more importantly, an investment in a stock. TSO is below its historical average multiple of Cash Earnings. Looking at the last 10 years we can get a good understanding of what investors have grown to expect from TSO. For example, TSO's Cash Earnings ratio per share has fluctuated between 3.46 and 11.01 over this historical timeframe. This range is based upon a proprietary weighted methodology at Ockham, but can clearly show an investor where TSO is with respect to prior business periods.

At its current price of $13.77, the Price to Cash Earnings ratio of 6.46 per share for TSO is relatively attractive. At current profitability levels, a drop in share price would only improve our future expectations. Again, Cash Earnings is an incredibly valuable metric, and management at TSO must continue on its generation to improve our overall outlook for the stock.

TSO Dividends

A strong dividend payment history is looked upon as a favorable characteristic on a company’s future and potentially can receive a positive Ockham rating. That being said, we don't require dividend payments for company's whose management has elected to forgo them entirely.

Peer Comparison

:

Tesoro Corp. Industry Grouping

(3/18/2010)
Company Ticker Market Cap (Ml) Latest
Price
Price/Cash Earnings Price/Sales 5-Yr. Rev.
Growth Rate
5-Yr.
Avg. ROE.
Current 10-Yr. Range* Current 10-Yr. Range*
Peer Company Averages (not including TSO) 25.03 2.22 » 34.78 4.44 1.14 » 5.54 21.98% 482.27%
*10 year range does not include current year values
Unit Corp. UNT $2.1 Billion $44.32 18.38 2.65 » 18.46 3.15 0.76 » 4.72 6.46% 15.95%
MarkWest Energy Partners, Limited Partnership MWE $2.1 Billion $31.23 74.50 1.17 » 71.29 2.82 0.27 » 3.93 19.63% 7.26%
Provident Energy Trust PVX $2.1 Billion $7.88 10.84 1.61 » 9.42 1.29 0.34 » 4.14 47.79% 5.90%
Regency Energy Partners Limited Partnership RGNC $2.1 Billion $22.26 8.35 1.49 » 61.54 1.96 0.16 » 1.86 n/a 3.07%
BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust BPT $2.0 Billion $95.78 13.08 4.20 » 13.20 12.95 4.16 » 13.06 14.04% 2379.14%
Tesoro Corp. TSO $2.0 Billion $14.15 6.46 0.91 » 69.55 0.11 0.01 » 0.41 6.59% 17.19%
Ockham Coverflow

Sharpen Your Investing

  • Access to over 5,000 stock reports
  • Portfolio Analytics and Tracking
  • Business Television Tracking
  • CNBC and Fox Business Show Recaps
Get Started
The Latest Financial News
The most recent Stocks on Financial TV & Blogs from impactful financial news sources
5:24P, Mar. 18,2010 TSO $14.07 Tesoro Corp.
Fast Money

See More News on TSO from Fast Money

The latest news from Fast Money on TSO is available through Ockham's news analytics platform RazorWire.

Premium Content - please sign up for Ockham PREMIUM to gain full access and to see what Fast Money said about TESORO CORP.

Learn About RazorWire?
5:57P, Mar. 17,2010 TSO $14.45 Tesoro Corp.
Fast Money

See Why Tesoro Corporation News Was Discussed on Fast Money

The latest news from business television and influential blogs is always available through Ockham's RazorWire, and this news is in relation to Tesoro Corporation.

The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on TSO because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. Crowd sentiment is favorable on this stock, as measured by the Motley Fool CAPS survey. When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Tesoro Corporation has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others.

“… TESORO's going higher. Giddy up. > > i'm melissa lee. See you back here tomorrow 5:00 p. M. Eastern time for more "fast money" on cnbc. > > …”

11:07A, Mar. 05,2010 TSO $13.48 Tesoro Corp.
The Call

Interested in TSO? See What the Pundits Said on The Call

The latest news on The Call in regards to TSO came through on RazorWire recently.

Tesoro Corporation receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. Crowd sentiment is leaning to the bearish side, according to the robust data set collected by the Motley Fool CAPS survey. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; TSO has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs.

“… And look at the commodities, the big energy stocks and even valero is up today and they never move those stocks, and TESORO and other commodities. …”

5:28P, Mar. 04,2010 TSO $13.16 Tesoro Corp.
Fast Money

Slow Month for News Out of TSO But Fast Money Mentions Them

There has not been much to report from TSO in the last few weeks at least, but Fast Money talked about the stock recently.

Tesoro Corporation receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; TSO has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs. Crowd sentiment is leaning to the bearish side, according to the robust data set collected by the Motley Fool CAPS survey.

“… If you look at sunoco and TESORO, tso. They've been paradigmed to price in crack spreads. These stocks are trading at 1/5 where they were and they have not come back. …”

12:06P, Mar. 03,2010 TSO $13.06 Tesoro Corp.
Bloomberg News

Merger Talk with TSO on Bloomberg News

RazorWire captured a discussion on Bloomberg News that contained talk of M&A activity and TSO was mentioned as well.

Tesoro Corporation receives our Fairly Valued rating in our latest report because the current price does not seem out of line with the fundamentals. We noticed recently that in comparison to all other stocks we analyze in the news; TSO has received less coverage from the financial media in business television and blogs. Crowd sentiment is leaning to the bearish side, according to the robust data set collected by the Motley Fool CAPS survey.

“… Energy among the leaders of the day was shares of titanium, metals, of TESORO among the also triggering some of the buying, we are getting more m&a activity, and a positive sign ... …”

3:56P, Jan. 04,2010 TSO $14.80 Tesoro Corp.
Countdown to the Closing Bell

The Outlook for Emerging Markets and Tesoro Corporation Discussed on Countdown to the Closing Bell

There is no doubt that the emerging markets are where the growth is right now. The latest news mention of TSO on Countdown to the Closing Bell was in relation to emerging markets.

As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, TSO has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. The Motley Fool CAPS data suggests that investors believe Tesoro Corporation will beat the market in the foreseeable future. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TSO. That being said, the recent price appreciation may be too much, too fast and we will consider downgrading on our next report. Check the news on this stock because there is a catalyst that has allowed this stock to advance 17.35% today.

“… Number four TESORO. Here's s&p 500 leader today. Deutsche bank raised its rating on the whole u. S. Refining sector. Raised TESORO to a buy from a homd number three is ... …”

3:54P, Jan. 04,2010 TSO $14.89 Tesoro Corp.
Street Smart With Carol Massar and Matt Miller

Investors Sentiment's Effect on Tesoro Corporation on Street Smart With Carol Massar and Matt Miller

It is always benefitial to understand the market's sentiment for a particular stock, and Street Smart With Carol Massar and Matt Miller talked about some aspects of sentiment for TSO recently.

The Motley Fool CAPS data suggests that investors believe Tesoro Corporation will beat the market in the foreseeable future. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TSO. That being said, the recent price appreciation may be too much, too fast and we will consider downgrading on our next report. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, TSO has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. Check the news on this stock because there is a catalyst that has allowed this stock to advance 13.12% today.

“… They are saying the increased amount of story -- which of the they upbraided the stock to TESORO, valero, these guys about 7% or more. > > also, big gains for financials today. ... …”

3:16P, Jan. 04,2010 TSO $14.89 Tesoro Corp.
Countdown to the Closing Bell

Countdown to the Closing Bell Has News on TSO

The latest news from business television and influential blogs is always available through Ockham's RazorWire, and this news is in relation to Tesoro Corporation.

When taking into account the amount of news coverage each stock normally sees as a percentage of the total, Tesoro Corporation has actually sunk a bit in comparison to the others. Crowd sentiment is favorable on this stock, as measured by the Motley Fool CAPS survey. Take notice of the news on this stock because it is up $2.21 since the close of trading yesterday. The Ockham valuation currently has a Fairly Valued stance on TSO because it trades within the price range that we would expect given current market conditions and fundamentals. But as the price has risen in the last week, we have begun to look slightly less favorably on the valuation.

“… the stock of the day today TESORO. We were just talking about energy companies. Energy stocks among the session. And the u. S. …”

12:39P, Jan. 04,2010 TSO $14.44 Tesoro Corp.
Bloomberg News

Bloomberg News: What is Happening with Tesoro Corporation Now?

Tesoro Corporation is one of the thousands of companies that Ockham has news analytics on, and it was recently discussed on Bloomberg News.

The Motley Fool CAPS data suggests that investors believe Tesoro Corporation will beat the market in the foreseeable future. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, TSO has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TSO. That being said, the recent price appreciation may be too much, too fast and we will consider downgrading on our next report. Check the news on this stock because there is a catalyst that has allowed this stock to advance 9.73% today.

“… What you are seeing in the oil trade, talking about stocks, 6% side gain for TESORO, chesapeake, consul energy. These guys, some of the best performers, up more than 2. 5%. …”

10:15A, Jan. 04,2010 TSO $14.44 Tesoro Corp.
Squawk On The Street

RazorWire has Detected News About TSO on Squawk On The Street

As always, the latest news on TSO is available to Ockham clients through RazorWire, and it was mentioned recently on Squawk On The Street.

The Motley Fool CAPS data suggests that investors believe Tesoro Corporation will beat the market in the foreseeable future. Check the news on this stock because there is a catalyst that has allowed this stock to advance 13.17% today. After factoring in the current fundamentals versus their historically normal ranges, we have established a Fairly Valued stance on TSO. That being said, the recent price appreciation may be too much, too fast and we will consider downgrading on our next report. As we analyze the results from RazorWire, one thing we do is rank each stock in terms of amount of news coverage. Recently, TSO has been less covered in the news compared to the rest of our universe of stocks.

“… TESORO, tso number one in the s&p 500 raised to buy from hold at deutscha bank. Good for 6%. That ain't bad on a monday > > thank you, mr. Nesto. > > > …”

View All Tesoro Corp. Stock News

Key Fundamentals

TSO - Tesoro Corporation Fundamentals
Price (3/18 4:00PM) $14.15
Volume (3/18 4:00PM) 6.3 Million
Last Close Price $14.22
10 Day Average Volume 6.3 Million
13 Week Price Range $11.48 - $15.33
52 Week Price Range $10.62 - $18.77
LTM Revenue $16.9 Billion
 
Shares Outstanding (12/2009) 140.6 Million
Market Capitalization $2.0 Billion
Shares Held By Institutions 140.2 Million
Institutional Holders 385
% Shares Held By Institutions %
Earnings Per Share (EPS) ($1.01)
P/E Ratio n/a
Book Value Per Share $21.96
 
Gross Margin 4.00%
Annual Dividend 0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Beta 1.22
Fiscal Year Ends December

About Tesoro Corp.

Tesoro Corporation is considered to operate in the Basic Materials sector. They specifically operate in the Oil & Gas Refining/Marketing business segment contained within the Energy industry.

The Company is an independent petroleum refiner and marketer in the United States with two operating segments: refining crude oil and selling refined products in bulk and wholesale markets and selling motor fuels in the retail market.